Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 21:30 • Couto Pereira
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.93 (league 1.15) 1.21 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
52.6% 22.1% 23.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.1%
2 - 1
9.7%
1 - 0
8.3%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Paranaense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Coritiba 0 4.3% 5.3% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 8.3% 10.1% 6.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.7% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.2% 6.3% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.5% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCoritibaAtletico Paranaense
Played55
Form60%47%
Attack67%67%
Defense56%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

70%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Coritiba Atletico Paranaense
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins56%44%50%44%44%44%
Draws31%19%25%31%13%22%
Loses13%38%25%25%44%34%

Form: Coritiba: WWDLWLLWWWDDWWWWLDDWDWDLWDLLWWWL • Atletico Paranaense: WWLWLLDLWDLWWLWLLDDDLDWWWWWWWLLD

League goals

Metric Coritiba Atletico Paranaense
HATHAT
GF total211334182745
GF avg1.30.81.11.11.71.4
GA total101121152742
GA avg0.60.70.70.91.71.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCoritibaAtletico Paranaense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%47%88%78%
1.538%9%44%34%
2.53%3%9%13%
3.53%3%0%6%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCoritibaAtletico Paranaense
HATHAT
Clean sheets11617437
Failed to score5712314

Penalties

MetricCoritibaAtletico Paranaense
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total48

Streaks

MetricCoritibaAtletico Paranaense
Wins47
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-22-00-3
Biggest losses2-52-11-43-0
Goals For4223
Goals Against5244

Model comparison

MetricCoritibaAtletico Paranaense
Form56%44%
Att50%50%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution60%40%
H2h62%38%
Goals60%40%
Total58.0%42.0%

Advice: Double chance : Coritiba or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.40 @ William Hill
Draw3.10 @ Bet365
Away3.40 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.88 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.47 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.37 @ Pinnacle
No1.67 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Coritiba = 1.93 (league 1.15), Atletico Paranaense = 1.21 (league 0.84)

Atletico Paranaense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Coritiba 0 4.3% 5.3% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
1 8.3% 10.1% 6.1% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
2 8.0% 9.7% 5.9% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2%
3 5.2% 6.3% 3.8% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 2.5% 3.0% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
5 1.0% 1.2% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 52.6% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 23.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1