Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 19:00 • Estadio Serra Dourada
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.59 (league 1.15) 0.86 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
54.0% 25.2% 20.3%
best score tips
1 - 0
13.8%
1 - 1
11.8%
2 - 0
10.9%
Score & goals probability table
Vila Nova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Goianiense 0 8.7% 7.4% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.8% 11.8% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.4% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.8% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico GoianienseVila Nova
Played55
Form47%47%
Attack31%38%
Defense69%69%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Goianiense Vila Nova
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins56%13%34%50%19%34%
Draws25%50%38%31%31%31%
Loses19%38%28%19%50%34%

Form: Atletico Goianiense: WDLDDWDDLLWDWLWDLLDDWLDWDWWWDWLL • Vila Nova: LWDWWWLWLLLLLWWDDWLLWWLDDDLDDDDW

League goals

Metric Atletico Goianiense Vila Nova
HATHAT
GF total231235181432
GF avg1.40.81.11.10.91.0
GA total122133122133
GA avg0.81.31.00.81.31.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico GoianienseVila Nova
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.572%63%72%69%
1.528%31%25%31%
2.56%9%3%3%
3.53%0%0%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico GoianienseVila Nova
HATHAT
Clean sheets84128210
Failed to score369369

Penalties

MetricAtletico GoianienseVila Nova
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total16

Streaks

MetricAtletico GoianienseVila Nova
Wins33
Draws24
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-12-01-3
Biggest losses1-33-00-32-0
Goals For4223
Goals Against3332

Model comparison

MetricAtletico GoianienseVila Nova
Form50%50%
Att45%55%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h40%60%
Goals50%50%
Total50.3%49.7%

Advice: Double chance : Atletico Goianiense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ William Hill
Draw3.10 @ 188Bet
Away4.10 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.39 @ Pinnacle
No1.62 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.89 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.43 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Atletico Goianiense = 1.59 (league 1.15), Vila Nova = 0.86 (league 0.84)

Vila Nova
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Goianiense 0 8.7% 7.4% 3.2% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
1 13.8% 11.8% 5.1% 1.4% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.9% 9.4% 4.0% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.8% 5.0% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.3% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 54.0% · Draw 25.2% · Away win 20.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1