Serie B — Brazil
Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 00:30 • Ligga Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.83 (league 1.14) 0.87 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
59.0% 22.5% 17.4%
best score tips
1 - 0
12.4%
2 - 0
11.3%
1 - 1
10.7%
Score & goals probability table
Amazonas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Paranaense 0 6.8% 5.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.4% 10.7% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.3% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.9% 6.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAtletico ParanaenseAmazonas
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack20%33%
Defense60%53%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Atletico Paranaense Amazonas
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins44%41%42%35%6%21%
Draws31%18%24%41%25%33%
Loses25%41%33%24%69%45%

Form: Atletico Paranaense: WWLWLLDLWDLWWLWLLDDDLDWWWWWWWLLDD • Amazonas: LDLLDLDDWLWLWDLLWDDDLDWLLLWLLDWLD

League goals

Metric Atletico Paranaense Amazonas
HATHAT
GF total182745201333
GF avg1.11.61.41.20.81.0
GA total152742183048
GA avg0.91.61.31.11.91.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAtletico ParanaenseAmazonas
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%76%70%82%
1.542%33%27%42%
2.59%12%3%18%
3.50%6%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAtletico ParanaenseAmazonas
HATHAT
Clean sheets448606
Failed to score3254610

Penalties

MetricAtletico ParanaenseAmazonas
Scored (total | %)8 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total83

Streaks

MetricAtletico ParanaenseAmazonas
Wins71
Draws33
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-00-33-01-2
Biggest losses1-43-01-34-0
Goals For2332
Goals Against4434

Model comparison

MetricAtletico ParanaenseAmazonas
Form50%50%
Att38%63%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h100%0%
Goals100%0%
Total52.3%48.0%

Advice: Double chance : Atletico Paranaense or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.44 @ Betano
Draw5.00 @ Bet365
Away11.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.84 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.50 @ 188Bet
No1.62 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

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Expected goals (λ): Atletico Paranaense = 1.83 (league 1.14), Amazonas = 0.87 (league 0.83)

Amazonas
0 1 2 3 4 5
Atletico Paranaense 0 6.8% 5.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
1 12.4% 10.7% 4.6% 1.3% 0.3% 0.1%
2 11.3% 9.8% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 6.9% 6.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 1.1% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 59.0% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 17.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1