Sat, Oct 25 2025 • 21:30 • Leonidas Sodre de Castro
Not Started
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.14) 1.39 (league 0.84)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.5% 27.2% 46.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
13.0%
1 - 1
12.7%
0 - 0
9.4%
Score & goals probability table
Avai
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paysandu 0 9.4% 13.0% 9.0% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.2% 12.7% 8.8% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
2 4.5% 6.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.5% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPaysanduAvai
Played55
Form33%33%
Attack60%33%
Defense40%67%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

64%
FT probability

2.5+

45%
FT probability

3.5+

32%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paysandu Avai
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins13%18%15%47%19%33%
Draws38%35%36%35%38%36%
Loses50%47%48%18%44%30%

Form: Paysandu: LLLDDLDDLLLWWWDDWDDDLLLLLDLLWDLLD • Avai: DDWWWLDDWLWDLWDLDLWDWDLLWLDWLLWDD

League goals

Metric Paysandu Avai
HATHAT
GF total131730261541
GF avg0.81.00.91.50.91.2
GA total202242132235
GA avg1.31.31.30.81.41.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePaysanduAvai
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.555%82%79%67%
1.521%39%30%33%
2.56%6%9%3%
3.56%0%3%3%
4.53%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPaysanduAvai
HATHAT
Clean sheets3368311
Failed to score6915347

Penalties

MetricPaysanduAvai
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricPaysanduAvai
Wins33
Draws32
Losses52

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-12-55-00-2
Biggest losses0-23-10-24-0
Goals For2552
Goals Against3324

Model comparison

MetricPaysanduAvai
Form50%50%
Att64%36%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution41%59%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%63%
Total44.5%55.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Avai

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.50 @ Bet365
Draw3.25 @ Unibet
Away3.09 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.30 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.68 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.93 @ Unibet
No1.93 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paysandu = 0.98 (league 1.14), Avai = 1.39 (league 0.84)

Avai
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paysandu 0 9.4% 13.0% 9.0% 4.2% 1.4% 0.4%
1 9.2% 12.7% 8.8% 4.1% 1.4% 0.4%
2 4.5% 6.2% 4.3% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
3 1.5% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.5% · Draw 27.2% · Away win 46.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1