Sat, Nov 1 2025 • 00:35 • Arena Fonte Luminosa
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.77 (league 1.14) 1.27 (league 0.85)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
22.6% 29.2% 48.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
16.5%
0 - 0
13.0%
1 - 1
12.7%
Score & goals probability table
Criciuma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ferroviária 0 13.0% 16.5% 10.5% 4.4% 1.4% 0.4%
1 10.0% 12.7% 8.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 3.9% 4.9% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFerroviáriaCriciuma
Played55
Form20%33%
Attack64%55%
Defense9%36%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

70%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ferroviária Criciuma
HATHAT
Played171734171734
Wins24%24%24%59%29%44%
Draws47%41%44%12%41%26%
Loses29%35%32%29%29%29%

Form: Ferroviária: DDWDLWDDLDWLWLLLLDDWWWDDLLDDWLLDDD • Criciuma: LLWDDLDLLWWWDLDWWWWLWDWWWDWWLDLWDL

League goals

Metric Ferroviária Criciuma
HATHAT
GF total192140281644
GF avg1.11.21.21.60.91.3
GA total212546181432
GA avg1.21.51.41.10.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFerroviáriaCriciuma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%79%85%62%
1.538%44%29%26%
2.53%9%9%3%
3.50%3%6%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFerroviáriaCriciuma
HATHAT
Clean sheets4377613
Failed to score358235

Penalties

MetricFerroviáriaCriciuma
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total63

Streaks

MetricFerroviáriaCriciuma
Wins34
Draws22
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-34-00-2
Biggest losses1-34-02-42-1
Goals For2342
Goals Against3442

Model comparison

MetricFerroviáriaCriciuma
Form38%63%
Att54%46%
Def41%59%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h0%100%
Goals33%67%
Total40.4%59.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Criciuma

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.01 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.25 @ 188Bet
Away2.61 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.33 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.64 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.02 @ 188Bet
No1.90 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ferroviária = 0.77 (league 1.14), Criciuma = 1.27 (league 0.85)

Criciuma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ferroviária 0 13.0% 16.5% 10.5% 4.4% 1.4% 0.4%
1 10.0% 12.7% 8.1% 3.4% 1.1% 0.3%
2 3.9% 4.9% 3.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
3 1.0% 1.3% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 22.6% · Draw 29.2% · Away win 48.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1