Serie B — Brazil
Sat, Nov 15 2025 • 19:30 • Couto Pereira
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.47 (league 1.14) 0.87 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.9% 26.5% 22.1%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.2%
1 - 1
12.3%
2 - 0
10.5%
Score & goals probability table
Athletic Club
0 1 2 3 4 5
Coritiba 0 9.7% 8.4% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.2% 12.3% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.0% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.1% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCoritibaAthletic Club
Played55
Form53%27%
Attack23%38%
Defense85%31%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.49 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Coritiba Athletic Club
HATHAT
Played181836181836
Wins50%50%50%28%33%31%
Draws39%17%28%28%11%19%
Loses11%33%22%44%56%50%

Form: Coritiba: WWDLWLLWWWDDWWWWLDDWDWDLWDLLWWWLDWDW • Athletic Club: LLLLWLWLLLLWWLWWWDDDLDLWDWLLLDWDLLLW

League goals

Metric Coritiba Athletic Club
HATHAT
GF total211637202141
GF avg1.20.91.01.11.21.1
GA total101222272552
GA avg0.60.70.61.51.41.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCoritibaAthletic Club
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.561%44%67%86%
1.536%8%33%36%
2.53%3%8%14%
3.53%3%6%8%
4.50%3%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCoritibaAthletic Club
HATHAT
Clean sheets13720235
Failed to score77146612

Penalties

MetricCoritibaAthletic Club
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total45

Streaks

MetricCoritibaAthletic Club
Wins43
Draws23
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-24-01-4
Biggest losses2-52-10-44-0
Goals For4244
Goals Against5244

Model comparison

MetricCoritibaAthletic Club
Form67%33%
Att38%63%
Def82%18%
Poisson Distribution65%35%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total58.7%41.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Coritiba or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.70 @ Betano
Draw3.40 @ 188Bet
Away9.00 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.40 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.86 @ Pinnacle
No1.60 @ 188Bet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Coritiba = 1.47 (league 1.14), Athletic Club = 0.87 (league 0.83)

Athletic Club
0 1 2 3 4 5
Coritiba 0 9.7% 8.4% 3.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.2% 12.3% 5.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.5% 9.0% 3.9% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.1% 4.4% 1.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
4 1.9% 1.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.9% · Draw 26.5% · Away win 22.1%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1