Serie B — Brazil
Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 19:30 • Estádio Heriberto Hülse
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.38 (league 1.14) 0.96 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.4% 17.7% 13.5%
best score tips
2 - 0
10.0%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
8.4%
Score & goals probability table
Botafogo SP
0 1 2 3 4 5
Criciuma 0 3.5% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.4% 8.1% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.0% 9.6% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.9% 7.6% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.7% 4.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.2% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCriciumaBotafogo SP
Played55
Form53%60%
Attack63%75%
Defense50%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Criciuma Botafogo SP
HATHAT
Played181836181836
Wins61%28%44%33%22%28%
Draws11%44%28%39%22%31%
Loses28%28%28%28%56%42%

Form: Criciuma: LLWDDLDLLWWWDLDWWWWLWDWWWDWWLDLWDLDW • Botafogo SP: LDDLLWLLWDDLWWDDLLLWLDWWLLDLLLWDDDWW

League goals

Metric Criciuma Botafogo SP
HATHAT
GF total291645171532
GF avg1.60.91.30.90.80.9
GA total181432193150
GA avg1.00.80.91.11.71.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCriciumaBotafogo SP
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%58%58%75%
1.528%25%22%42%
2.58%3%6%17%
3.56%3%3%3%
4.50%0%0%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCriciumaBotafogo SP
HATHAT
Clean sheets8715729
Failed to score2466915

Penalties

MetricCriciumaBotafogo SP
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total37

Streaks

MetricCriciumaBotafogo SP
Wins42
Draws23
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-22-01-4
Biggest losses2-42-10-35-0
Goals For4224
Goals Against4235

Model comparison

MetricCriciumaBotafogo SP
Form47%53%
Att45%55%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h50%50%
Goals60%40%
Total53.8%46.2%

Advice: Double chance : Criciuma or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.61 @ 188Bet
Draw4.50 @ Betano
Away9.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.07 @ SBO
Under 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.28 @ Pinnacle
No1.63 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Criciuma = 2.38 (league 1.14), Botafogo SP = 0.96 (league 0.83)

Botafogo SP
0 1 2 3 4 5
Criciuma 0 3.5% 3.4% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 8.4% 8.1% 3.9% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
2 10.0% 9.6% 4.6% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 7.9% 7.6% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
4 4.7% 4.5% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
5 2.2% 2.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.4% · Draw 17.7% · Away win 13.5%

Vtot 8 , Vtod1