Sun, Nov 16 2025 • 19:30 • Estadio Dr. Adhemar de Barros
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.44 (league 1.14) 2.31 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.0% 19.7% 53.9%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.0%
1 - 1
7.8%
1 - 3
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Atletico Paranaense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ferroviária 0 2.4% 5.4% 6.3% 4.8% 2.8% 1.3%
1 3.4% 7.8% 9.0% 6.9% 4.0% 1.8%
2 2.4% 5.6% 6.5% 5.0% 2.9% 1.3%
3 1.2% 2.7% 3.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFerroviáriaAtletico Paranaense
Played55
Form27%73%
Attack88%75%
Defense0%88%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.61 | 0.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

74%
FT probability

2.5+

52%
FT probability

3.5+

37%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Ferroviária Atletico Paranaense
HATHAT
Played181836181836
Wins22%22%22%50%44%47%
Draws50%39%44%28%17%22%
Loses28%39%33%22%39%31%

Form: Ferroviária: DDWDLWDDLDWLWLLLLDDWWWDDLLDDWLLDDDDL • Atletico Paranaense: WWLWLLDLWDLWWLWLLDDDLDWWWWWWWLLDDWWW

League goals

Metric Ferroviária Atletico Paranaense
HATHAT
GF total192241222850
GF avg1.11.21.11.21.61.4
GA total212748152742
GA avg1.21.51.30.81.51.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFerroviáriaAtletico Paranaense
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%78%86%69%
1.536%44%44%31%
2.53%8%8%11%
3.50%3%0%6%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFerroviáriaAtletico Paranaense
HATHAT
Clean sheets5386511
Failed to score459325

Penalties

MetricFerroviáriaAtletico Paranaense
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total68

Streaks

MetricFerroviáriaAtletico Paranaense
Wins37
Draws43
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-32-00-3
Biggest losses1-34-01-43-0
Goals For2323
Goals Against3444

Model comparison

MetricFerroviáriaAtletico Paranaense
Form27%73%
Att54%46%
Def11%89%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total38.5%61.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Atletico Paranaense

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.10 @ Betano
Draw3.86 @ Pinnacle
Away1.99 @ 188Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.14 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.83 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ 188Bet
No1.87 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Ferroviária = 1.44 (league 1.14), Atletico Paranaense = 2.31 (league 0.83)

Atletico Paranaense
0 1 2 3 4 5
Ferroviária 0 2.4% 5.4% 6.3% 4.8% 2.8% 1.3%
1 3.4% 7.8% 9.0% 6.9% 4.0% 1.8%
2 2.4% 5.6% 6.5% 5.0% 2.9% 1.3%
3 1.2% 2.7% 3.1% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.0% · Draw 19.7% · Away win 53.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1