Serie B — Brazil
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 19:30 • Arena Pantanal
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.98 (league 1.14) 0.97 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.4% 31.3% 34.2%
best score tips
0 - 0
14.2%
1 - 0
13.9%
0 - 1
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Criciuma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cuiaba 0 14.2% 13.8% 6.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.9% 13.5% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.8% 6.6% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
3 2.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricCuiabaCriciuma
Played55
Form13%53%
Attack29%36%
Defense36%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.85 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

66%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Cuiaba Criciuma
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins61%11%35%63%28%46%
Draws11%53%32%11%44%27%
Loses28%37%32%26%28%27%

Form: Cuiaba: WDWDWDLLWWWLLLDWLWLWLDDDWDWDWDLWDLLLD • Criciuma: LLWDDLDLLWWWDLDWWWWLWDWWWDWWLDLWDLDWW

League goals

Metric Cuiaba Criciuma
HATHAT
GF total251742311647
GF avg1.40.91.11.60.91.3
GA total172744181432
GA avg0.91.41.20.90.80.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineCuiabaCriciuma
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.576%73%84%57%
1.532%35%30%24%
2.55%11%8%3%
3.50%0%5%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricCuiabaCriciuma
HATHAT
Clean sheets73109716
Failed to score369246

Penalties

MetricCuiabaCriciuma
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total73

Streaks

MetricCuiabaCriciuma
Wins34
Draws32
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-24-00-2
Biggest losses1-33-02-42-1
Goals For3242
Goals Against3342

Model comparison

MetricCuiabaCriciuma
Form20%80%
Att44%56%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution48%52%
H2h71%29%
Goals67%33%
Total45.8%54.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Cuiaba or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ 188Bet
Draw3.05 @ 188Bet
Away2.65 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.53.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.41 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.44 @ Pinnacle
No1.60 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Cuiaba = 0.98 (league 1.14), Criciuma = 0.97 (league 0.83)

Criciuma
0 1 2 3 4 5
Cuiaba 0 14.2% 13.8% 6.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
1 13.9% 13.5% 6.6% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.8% 6.6% 3.2% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
3 2.2% 2.2% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.4% · Draw 31.3% · Away win 34.2%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1