Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 19:30 • Estádio Germano Krüger
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.70 (league 1.14) 1.30 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
46.2% 23.7% 29.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.0%
2 - 1
9.4%
1 - 0
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Ferroviária
0 1 2 3 4 5
Operario-PR 0 5.0% 6.4% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
1 8.5% 11.0% 7.1% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.2% 9.4% 6.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.1% 5.3% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricOperario-PRFerroviária
Played55
Form40%20%
Attack43%43%
Defense50%43%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.48 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

48%
FT probability

3.5+

34%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Operario-PR Ferroviária
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins44%16%30%21%22%22%
Draws33%32%32%47%39%43%
Loses22%53%38%32%39%35%

Form: Operario-PR: WLLDLWWWLDLLWLLDDWDWLDWWDDDWLLLLWLDDD • Ferroviária: DDWDLWDDLDWLWLLLLDDWWWDDLLDDWLLDDDDLL

League goals

Metric Operario-PR Ferroviária
HATHAT
GF total241438202242
GF avg1.30.71.01.11.21.1
GA total172643232750
GA avg0.91.41.21.21.51.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineOperario-PRFerroviária
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%70%76%78%
1.530%38%35%46%
2.58%5%3%8%
3.50%3%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricOperario-PRFerroviária
HATHAT
Clean sheets8311538
Failed to score31013459

Penalties

MetricOperario-PRFerroviária
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total76

Streaks

MetricOperario-PRFerroviária
Wins33
Draws34
Losses44

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-02-32-01-3
Biggest losses1-43-01-34-0
Goals For3323
Goals Against4334

Model comparison

MetricOperario-PRFerroviária
Form67%33%
Att50%50%
Def53%47%
Poisson Distribution56%44%
H2h50%50%
Goals0%0%
Total55.2%44.8%

Advice: Double chance : Operario-PR or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.56 @ 188Bet
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away3.00 @ Bet365

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.20 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.70 @ 10Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.88 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Pinnacle
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Operario-PR = 1.70 (league 1.14), Ferroviária = 1.30 (league 0.83)

Ferroviária
0 1 2 3 4 5
Operario-PR 0 5.0% 6.4% 4.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.2%
1 8.5% 11.0% 7.1% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3%
2 7.2% 9.4% 6.1% 2.6% 0.9% 0.2%
3 4.1% 5.3% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1%
4 1.7% 2.3% 1.5% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 46.2% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 29.0%

Vtot 4 , Vtod1