Serie B — Brazil
Sun, Nov 23 2025 • 19:30 • Estádio Joaquim Portugal
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.25 (league 1.14) 1.80 (league 0.83)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
26.3% 23.1% 49.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.6%
1 - 2
9.6%
0 - 1
8.5%
Score & goals probability table
Paysandu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Club 0 4.7% 8.5% 7.7% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7%
1 5.9% 10.6% 9.6% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.7% 6.7% 6.0% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.5% 2.8% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricAthletic ClubPaysandu
Played55
Form27%13%
Attack29%50%
Defense43%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.610 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

69%
FT probability

2.5+

49%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Athletic Club Paysandu
HATHAT
Played181937191837
Wins28%32%30%11%17%14%
Draws28%16%22%37%33%35%
Loses44%53%49%53%50%51%

Form: Athletic Club: LLLLWLWLLLLWWLWWWDDDLDLWDWLLLDWDLLLWD • Paysandu: LLLDDLDDLLLWWWDDWDDDLLLLLDLLWDLLDLLLD

League goals

Metric Athletic Club Paysandu
HATHAT
GF total202141171835
GF avg1.11.11.10.91.00.9
GA total272552262450
GA avg1.51.31.41.41.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineAthletic ClubPaysandu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%84%59%84%
1.532%35%22%46%
2.58%14%5%5%
3.55%8%5%0%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricAthletic ClubPaysandu
HATHAT
Clean sheets246336
Failed to score67136915

Penalties

MetricAthletic ClubPaysandu
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total53

Streaks

MetricAthletic ClubPaysandu
Wins33
Draws33
Losses45

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-01-42-12-5
Biggest losses0-44-00-23-1
Goals For4425
Goals Against4433

Model comparison

MetricAthletic ClubPaysandu
Form67%33%
Att36%64%
Def56%44%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total50.2%49.8%

Advice: Double chance : Athletic Club or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.57 @ Betano
Draw4.15 @ 188Bet
Away7.50 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.16 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.83 @ 188Bet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.25 @ Unibet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Athletic Club = 1.25 (league 1.14), Paysandu = 1.80 (league 0.83)

Paysandu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Athletic Club 0 4.7% 8.5% 7.7% 4.6% 2.1% 0.7%
1 5.9% 10.6% 9.6% 5.8% 2.6% 0.9%
2 3.7% 6.7% 6.0% 3.6% 1.6% 0.6%
3 1.5% 2.8% 2.5% 1.5% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.5% 0.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 26.3% · Draw 23.1% · Away win 49.3%

Vtot 3 , Vtod1