Thu, Sep 25 2025 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.83 (league 1.35) 1.11 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.2% 31.0% 41.7%
best score tips
0 - 1
15.9%
0 - 0
14.4%
1 - 1
13.2%
Score & goals probability table
San Lorenzo Res.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lanús Res. 0 14.4% 15.9% 8.8% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.9% 13.2% 7.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.0% 5.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLanús Res.San Lorenzo Res.
Played55
Form73%27%
Attack45%36%
Defense82%55%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 14 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)2 | 0.45 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

63%
FT probability

2.5+

44%
FT probability

3.5+

31%
FT probability

BTTS

61%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Lanús Res. San Lorenzo Res.
HATHAT
Played121426121729
Wins17%50%35%58%6%28%
Draws50%14%31%17%41%31%
Loses33%36%35%25%53%41%

Form: Lanús Res.: DLLWDLLWDWDWDLWDLLLWLDWWWD • San Lorenzo Res.: WDWLWDDLLLWDLWLDDWLLDDWLLDLLW

League goals

Metric Lanús Res. San Lorenzo Res.
HATHAT
GF total91928151328
GF avg0.81.41.11.30.81.0
GA total17183562430
GA avg1.41.31.30.51.41.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLanús Res.San Lorenzo Res.
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%73%62%62%
1.523%38%24%28%
2.512%19%7%14%
3.54%4%3%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLanús Res.San Lorenzo Res.
HATHAT
Clean sheets4376511
Failed to score5384711

Penalties

MetricLanús Res.San Lorenzo Res.
Scored (total | %)4 | 66.67%11 | 84.62%
Missed (total | %)2 | 33.33%2 | 15.38%
Total613

Streaks

MetricLanús Res.San Lorenzo Res.
Wins31
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins1-01-44-10-1
Biggest losses1-43-10-13-1
Goals For2442
Goals Against4313

Model comparison

MetricLanús Res.San Lorenzo Res.
Form73%27%
Att56%44%
Def71%29%
Poisson Distribution42%58%
H2h71%29%
Goals58%42%
Total61.8%38.2%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Lanús Res. or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.68 @ Pinnacle
Draw2.99 @ 188Bet
Away2.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.17 @ 188Bet
No1.70 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.73 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.51.50 @ Bet365
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Lanús Res. = 0.83 (league 1.35), San Lorenzo Res. = 1.11 (league 1.01)

San Lorenzo Res.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Lanús Res. 0 14.4% 15.9% 8.8% 3.3% 0.9% 0.2%
1 11.9% 13.2% 7.3% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2%
2 5.0% 5.5% 3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
3 1.4% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.2% · Draw 31.0% · Away win 41.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1