Thu, Oct 2 2025 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.35) 1.80 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.6% 23.0% 47.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.4%
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 1
7.7%
Score & goals probability table
Lanús Res.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente Res. 0 4.3% 7.7% 6.9% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
1 5.8% 10.4% 9.4% 5.6% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.9% 7.0% 6.3% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.8% 3.2% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIndependiente Res.Lanús Res.
Played55
Form27%67%
Attack45%55%
Defense0%64%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 16 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

68%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Independiente Res. Lanús Res.
HATHAT
Played121426131427
Wins42%14%27%15%50%33%
Draws25%43%35%46%14%30%
Loses33%43%38%38%36%37%

Form: Independiente Res.: DLDLLWWDLLDLDWDDWLDWWLDWLL • Lanús Res.: DLLWDLLWDWDWDLWDLLLWLDWWWDL

League goals

Metric Independiente Res. Lanús Res.
HATHAT
GF total171027101929
GF avg1.40.71.00.81.41.1
GA total161834191837
GA avg1.31.31.31.51.31.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIndependiente Res.Lanús Res.
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.565%65%70%74%
1.531%46%22%41%
2.58%19%11%19%
3.50%0%4%4%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIndependiente Res.Lanús Res.
HATHAT
Clean sheets459437
Failed to score279538

Penalties

MetricIndependiente Res.Lanús Res.
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%4 | 66.67%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%2 | 33.33%
Total36

Streaks

MetricIndependiente Res.Lanús Res.
Wins23
Draws21
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-11-01-4
Biggest losses2-33-01-43-1
Goals For3224
Goals Against3343

Model comparison

MetricIndependiente Res.Lanús Res.
Form29%71%
Att45%55%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h15%85%
Goals33%67%
Total32.0%68.0%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Lanús Res.

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.19 @ 188Bet
Draw3.36 @ Pinnacle
Away3.11 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.92 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.99 @ 188Bet
No2.02 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Independiente Res. = 1.35 (league 1.35), Lanús Res. = 1.80 (league 1.01)

Lanús Res.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente Res. 0 4.3% 7.7% 6.9% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
1 5.8% 10.4% 9.4% 5.6% 2.5% 0.9%
2 3.9% 7.0% 6.3% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6%
3 1.8% 3.2% 2.9% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
4 0.6% 1.1% 1.0% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.6% · Draw 23.0% · Away win 47.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1