Wed, Oct 8 2025 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.82 (league 1.35) 1.54 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.8% 25.7% 54.0%
best score tips
0 - 1
14.6%
1 - 1
11.9%
0 - 2
11.2%
Score & goals probability table
Vélez Sársfield Res.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarmiento Res. 0 9.4% 14.6% 11.2% 5.8% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.7% 11.9% 9.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
2 3.1% 4.9% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSarmiento Res.Vélez Sársfield Res.
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack19%44%
Defense69%56%
Goals For (tot | avg)3 | 0.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)5 | 17 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

66%
FT probability

2.5+

47%
FT probability

3.5+

33%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Sarmiento Res. Vélez Sársfield Res.
HATHAT
Played141327161531
Wins29%23%26%50%40%45%
Draws36%38%37%31%33%32%
Loses36%38%37%19%27%23%

Form: Sarmiento Res.: DDWLDDLDLLDLWDWDLWWLDLWWDLL • Vélez Sársfield Res.: LDWWWDWWDWDWWWLWWWWDDDLLLLDWDDL

League goals

Metric Sarmiento Res. Vélez Sársfield Res.
HATHAT
GF total141226252045
GF avg1.00.91.01.61.31.5
GA total171835131629
GA avg1.21.41.30.81.10.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSarmiento Res.Vélez Sársfield Res.
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.556%70%71%71%
1.537%52%48%19%
2.54%4%19%3%
3.50%4%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSarmiento Res.Vélez Sársfield Res.
HATHAT
Clean sheets448639
Failed to score6612459

Penalties

MetricSarmiento Res.Vélez Sársfield Res.
Scored (total | %)1 | 100.00%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total16

Streaks

MetricSarmiento Res.Vélez Sársfield Res.
Wins24
Draws23
Losses24

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-23-01-4
Biggest losses0-24-21-32-0
Goals For3234
Goals Against2432

Model comparison

MetricSarmiento Res.Vélez Sársfield Res.
Form54%46%
Att30%70%
Def58%42%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h0%100%
Goals13%88%
Total37.6%62.6%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Vélez Sársfield Res.

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.50 @ 10Bet
Draw3.25 @ Bet365
Away2.40 @ 888Sport

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.83 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.00 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Sarmiento Res. = 0.82 (league 1.35), Vélez Sársfield Res. = 1.54 (league 1.01)

Vélez Sársfield Res.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Sarmiento Res. 0 9.4% 14.6% 11.2% 5.8% 2.2% 0.7%
1 7.7% 11.9% 9.2% 4.7% 1.8% 0.6%
2 3.1% 4.9% 3.8% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
3 0.9% 1.3% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
4 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.8% · Draw 25.7% · Away win 54.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1