Wed, Oct 15 2025 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 1.35) 1.42 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
40.5% 24.3% 34.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.3%
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 2
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Atlético Tucumán Res.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente Res. 0 5.1% 7.2% 5.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
1 8.0% 11.3% 8.0% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.2% 8.8% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.2% 4.6% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
4 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricIndependiente Res.Atlético Tucumán Res.
Played55
Form40%33%
Attack100%75%
Defense0%38%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

73%
FT probability

2.5+

51%
FT probability

3.5+

36%
FT probability

BTTS

65%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Independiente Res. Atlético Tucumán Res.
HATHAT
Played131528151429
Wins46%13%29%40%36%38%
Draws23%40%32%40%21%31%
Loses31%47%39%20%43%31%

Form: Independiente Res.: DLDLLWWDLLDLDWDDWLDWWLDWLLWL • Atlético Tucumán Res.: LWWLDDDLDWWLDDLLWWWWWDWLLDWLD

League goals

Metric Independiente Res. Atlético Tucumán Res.
HATHAT
GF total201131211637
GF avg1.50.71.11.41.11.3
GA total172037151934
GA avg1.31.31.31.01.41.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineIndependiente Res.Atlético Tucumán Res.
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.568%68%76%59%
1.532%46%41%34%
2.511%18%7%17%
3.50%0%3%7%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricIndependiente Res.Atlético Tucumán Res.
HATHAT
Clean sheets4597512
Failed to score279257

Penalties

MetricIndependiente Res.Atlético Tucumán Res.
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%0 | 0%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total30

Streaks

MetricIndependiente Res.Atlético Tucumán Res.
Wins25
Draws23
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-10-13-00-4
Biggest losses2-33-02-44-1
Goals For3234
Goals Against3344

Model comparison

MetricIndependiente Res.Atlético Tucumán Res.
Form55%45%
Att60%40%
Def31%69%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h91%9%
Goals83%17%
Total61.8%38.2%

Advice: Double chance : Independiente Res. or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.18 @ 188Bet
Draw3.30 @ Betano
Away3.43 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.10 @ 10Bet
Under 2.51.79 @ SBO

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.85 @ 188Bet
No1.95 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Independiente Res. = 1.56 (league 1.35), Atlético Tucumán Res. = 1.42 (league 1.01)

Atlético Tucumán Res.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Independiente Res. 0 5.1% 7.2% 5.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.2%
1 8.0% 11.3% 8.0% 3.8% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.2% 8.8% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
3 3.2% 4.6% 3.2% 1.5% 0.5% 0.2%
4 1.3% 1.8% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.4% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 40.5% · Draw 24.3% · Away win 34.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1