Tue, Oct 21 2025 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.11 (league 1.35) 1.54 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
27.3% 25.3% 46.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 1
10.8%
1 - 2
9.3%
Score & goals probability table
Vélez Sársfield Res.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gimnasia La Plata Res. 0 7.0% 10.8% 8.3% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5%
1 7.8% 12.1% 9.3% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6%
2 4.4% 6.7% 5.2% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.6% 2.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricGimnasia La Plata Res.Vélez Sársfield Res.
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack45%35%
Defense85%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.87 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.66 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

64%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Gimnasia La Plata Res. Vélez Sársfield Res.
HATHAT
Played151429171633
Wins47%21%34%53%44%48%
Draws27%64%45%29%31%30%
Loses27%14%21%18%25%21%

Form: Gimnasia La Plata Res.: DDDDDLDWDWDLLLWDDWWWLLDWDWWWD • Vélez Sársfield Res.: LDWWWDWWDWDWWWLWWWWDDDLLLLDWDDLWW

League goals

Metric Gimnasia La Plata Res. Vélez Sársfield Res.
HATHAT
GF total231740282149
GF avg1.51.21.41.61.31.5
GA total181432141630
GA avg1.21.01.10.81.00.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineGimnasia La Plata Res.Vélez Sársfield Res.
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%62%73%70%
1.545%34%48%18%
2.521%10%21%3%
3.53%3%6%0%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricGimnasia La Plata Res.Vélez Sársfield Res.
HATHAT
Clean sheets65116410
Failed to score549459

Penalties

MetricGimnasia La Plata Res.Vélez Sársfield Res.
Scored (total | %)0 | 0%6 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total06

Streaks

MetricGimnasia La Plata Res.Vélez Sársfield Res.
Wins34
Draws53
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-00-33-01-4
Biggest losses0-43-11-32-0
Goals For4334
Goals Against4332

Model comparison

MetricGimnasia La Plata Res.Vélez Sársfield Res.
Form58%42%
Att56%44%
Def67%33%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h50%50%
Goals44%56%
Total53.0%47.0%

Advice: Double chance : Gimnasia La Plata Res. or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.22 @ Pinnacle
Draw3.35 @ 188Bet
Away2.17 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.97 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.85 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ 188Bet
No1.96 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Gimnasia La Plata Res. = 1.11 (league 1.35), Vélez Sársfield Res. = 1.54 (league 1.01)

Vélez Sársfield Res.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Gimnasia La Plata Res. 0 7.0% 10.8% 8.3% 4.3% 1.7% 0.5%
1 7.8% 12.1% 9.3% 4.8% 1.8% 0.6%
2 4.4% 6.7% 5.2% 2.7% 1.0% 0.3%
3 1.6% 2.5% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.5% 0.7% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 27.3% · Draw 25.3% · Away win 46.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1