Tue, Oct 28 2025 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 1.34) 0.54 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.8% 28.2% 14.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
20.4%
0 - 0
15.1%
2 - 0
13.8%
Score & goals probability table
Sarmiento Res.
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Lorenzo Res. 0 15.1% 8.1% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.4% 11.0% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.8% 7.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.3% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricSan Lorenzo Res.Sarmiento Res.
Played55
Form73%13%
Attack50%0%
Defense67%72%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.80 | 0
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.25 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

61%
FT probability

2.5+

43%
FT probability

3.5+

30%
FT probability

BTTS

58%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

- no cards data
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric San Lorenzo Res. Sarmiento Res.
HATHAT
Played142034161430
Wins57%30%41%25%21%23%
Draws21%30%26%38%43%40%
Loses21%40%32%38%36%37%

Form: San Lorenzo Res.: WDWLWDDWLLWDLWLWWWLLDDWLLDLLWWDDWW • Sarmiento Res.: DDWLDDLDLLDLWDWDLWWLDLWWDLLLDD

League goals

Metric San Lorenzo Res. Sarmiento Res.
HATHAT
GF total192140141226
GF avg1.41.11.20.90.90.9
GA total92635181836
GA avg0.61.31.01.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineSan Lorenzo Res.Sarmiento Res.
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.571%68%50%67%
1.538%24%33%47%
2.56%12%3%3%
3.53%0%0%3%
4.50%0%0%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricSan Lorenzo Res.Sarmiento Res.
HATHAT
Clean sheets65115510
Failed to score46108715

Penalties

MetricSan Lorenzo Res.Sarmiento Res.
Scored (total | %)7 | 87.50%1 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)1 | 12.50%0 | 0%
Total81

Streaks

MetricSan Lorenzo Res.Sarmiento Res.
Wins32
Draws22
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-11-22-01-2
Biggest losses0-13-10-24-2
Goals For4232
Goals Against2324

Model comparison

MetricSan Lorenzo Res.Sarmiento Res.
Form85%15%
Att100%0%
Def45%55%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h71%29%
Goals73%27%
Total69.0%31.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : San Lorenzo Res. or draw and -3.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Bet365
Draw3.82 @ Pinnacle
Away6.71 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.23 @ Unibet
Under 2.51.74 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes2.35 @ Superbet
No1.67 @ William Hill
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): San Lorenzo Res. = 1.35 (league 1.34), Sarmiento Res. = 0.54 (league 1.01)

Sarmiento Res.
0 1 2 3 4 5
San Lorenzo Res. 0 15.1% 8.1% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 20.4% 11.0% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.8% 7.4% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
3 6.3% 3.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
4 2.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.8% · Draw 28.2% · Away win 14.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1