Wed, Oct 29 2025 • 18:00 • Venue TBA
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.07 (league 1.34) 1.11 (league 1.01)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
34.2% 29.2% 36.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
13.4%
0 - 1
12.5%
1 - 0
12.1%
Score & goals probability table
River Plate Res.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vélez Sársfield Res. 0 11.2% 12.5% 7.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.1% 13.4% 7.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.5% 7.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricVélez Sársfield Res.River Plate Res.
Played55
Form47%73%
Attack33%48%
Defense67%86%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.43 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

1.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

1.70
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

71%
FT probability

2.5+

50%
FT probability

3.5+

35%
FT probability

BTTS

67%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

0 - 0 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Vélez Sársfield Res. River Plate Res.
HATHAT
Played171734181432
Wins53%41%47%72%43%59%
Draws29%29%29%17%43%28%
Loses18%29%24%11%14%13%

Form: Vélez Sársfield Res.: LDWWWDWWDWDWWWLWWWWDDDLLLLDWDDLWWL • River Plate Res.: WDLWWWWWDLDWWWWWLWLDDWDWDWWDWWDW

League goals

Metric Vélez Sársfield Res. River Plate Res.
HATHAT
GF total282250391958
GF avg1.61.31.52.21.41.8
GA total141832191231
GA avg0.81.10.91.10.91.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineVélez Sársfield Res.River Plate Res.
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%71%88%66%
1.547%21%59%25%
2.521%3%25%3%
3.56%0%6%3%
4.50%0%3%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricVélez Sársfield Res.River Plate Res.
HATHAT
Clean sheets64106511
Failed to score459044

Penalties

MetricVélez Sársfield Res.River Plate Res.
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total62

Streaks

MetricVélez Sársfield Res.River Plate Res.
Wins45
Draws32
Losses41

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-45-10-4
Biggest losses1-32-01-42-0
Goals For3454
Goals Against3242

Model comparison

MetricVélez Sársfield Res.River Plate Res.
Form39%61%
Att41%59%
Def30%70%
Poisson Distribution49%51%
H2h29%71%
Goals38%63%
Total37.7%62.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or River Plate Res.

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.30 @ Bet365
Draw3.20 @ Unibet
Away2.25 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.52.15 @ Bet365
Under 2.51.75 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.87 @ 188Bet
No1.92 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Vélez Sársfield Res. = 1.07 (league 1.34), River Plate Res. = 1.11 (league 1.01)

River Plate Res.
0 1 2 3 4 5
Vélez Sársfield Res. 0 11.2% 12.5% 7.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2%
1 12.1% 13.4% 7.5% 2.8% 0.8% 0.2%
2 6.5% 7.2% 4.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
3 2.3% 2.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 0.6% 0.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 34.2% · Draw 29.2% · Away win 36.3%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1