Esiliiga B
— Estonia
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 08:30 •
Heino Lipu staadion
Expected Goals
1.56 (league 2.19)
1.95 (league 1.95)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 30.5% | 21.8% | 45.6% |
best score tips
1 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
8.9%
2 - 1
7.1%
Score & goals probability table
| Tartu Kalev | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Johvi Phoenix | 0 | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Johvi Phoenix | Tartu Kalev |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 67% | 53% |
| Attack | 57% | 35% |
| Defense | 74% | 78% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 13 | 2.6 | 8 | 1.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 6 | 1.2 | 5 | 1 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.60
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
5.10
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.00
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
78%
FT probability
3.5+
56%
FT probability
BTTS
80%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Johvi Phoenix | Tartu Kalev | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 15 | 29 | 15 | 14 | 29 |
| Wins | 57% | 60% | 59% | 47% | 64% | 55% |
| Draws | 21% | 13% | 17% | 13% | 7% | 10% |
| Loses | 21% | 27% | 24% | 40% | 29% | 34% |
Form: Johvi Phoenix: WLDWDWWWLDDWLLWWWWLWWLWWWLWDW • Tartu Kalev: WWLWWWLLWWLWLWLLLWWWWDWLLWDDW
League goals
| Metric | Johvi Phoenix | Tartu Kalev | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 43 | 35 | 78 | 26 | 28 | 54 |
| GF avg | 3.1 | 2.3 | 2.7 | 1.7 | 2.0 | 1.9 |
| GA total | 27 | 25 | 52 | 16 | 16 | 32 |
| GA avg | 1.9 | 1.7 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Johvi Phoenix | Tartu Kalev | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 90% | 90% | 79% | 62% |
| 1.5 | 79% | 55% | 41% | 24% |
| 2.5 | 66% | 24% | 31% | 14% |
| 3.5 | 21% | 7% | 14% | 3% |
| 4.5 | 10% | 3% | 10% | 3% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Johvi Phoenix | Tartu Kalev | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 11 |
| Failed to score | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 6 |
Penalties
| Metric | Johvi Phoenix | Tartu Kalev |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 3 | 100.00% | 5 | 100.00% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 3 | 5 |
Streaks
| Metric | Johvi Phoenix | Tartu Kalev |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 4 |
| Draws | 2 | 2 |
| Losses | 2 | 3 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 1-4 | 6-1 | 0-7 |
| Biggest losses | 3-5 | 4-2 | 0-3 | 6-1 |
| Goals For | 6 | 4 | 6 | 7 |
| Goals Against | 5 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Johvi Phoenix | Tartu Kalev |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 56% | 44% |
| Att | 62% | 38% |
| Def | 45% | 55% |
| Poisson Distribution | 46% | 54% |
| H2h | 29% | 71% |
| Goals | 30% | 70% |
| Total | 44.7% | 55.3% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Tartu Kalev
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
📊
League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Johvi Phoenix = 1.56 (league 2.19), Tartu Kalev = 1.95 (league 1.95)
| Tartu Kalev | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Johvi Phoenix | 0 | 3.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| 1 | 4.7% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | |
| 2 | 3.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 2.2% | 0.9% | |
| 3 | 1.9% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | |
| 4 | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | |
| 5 | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.5% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 45.6%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1