Esiliiga B — Estonia
Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 12:00 • Kalevi Staadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.62 (league 2.19) 0.49 (league 1.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
77.7% 12.3% 4.9%
best score tips
2 - 0
15.3%
3 - 0
13.3%
1 - 0
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Paide II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Narva U21 0 4.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.6% 5.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.3% 7.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.3% 6.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.7% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNarva U21Paide II
Played55
Form60%27%
Attack75%50%
Defense20%60%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 310 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)16 | 3.28 | 1.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Narva U21 Paide II
HATHAT
Played121325121325
Wins75%54%64%33%15%24%
Draws0%8%4%8%15%12%
Loses25%38%32%58%69%64%

Form: Narva U21: WWDWLLWWWWLWWWWLWLWLLLWWW • Paide II: LLWLWLLWLLDLLLLDWLWLLWLLD

League goals

Metric Narva U21 Paide II
HATHAT
GF total303161271643
GF avg2.52.42.42.31.21.7
GA total103040303060
GA avg0.82.31.62.52.32.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNarva U21Paide II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%60%72%88%
1.564%36%56%68%
2.552%20%28%52%
3.528%12%8%20%
4.512%8%4%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNarva U21Paide II
HATHAT
Clean sheets7310213
Failed to score224257

Penalties

MetricNarva U21Paide II
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 66.67%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 33.33%
Total53

Streaks

MetricNarva U21Paide II
Wins41
Draws11
Losses34

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-56-11-3
Biggest losses0-211-10-65-0
Goals For6563
Goals Against41165

Model comparison

MetricNarva U21Paide II
Form69%31%
Att60%40%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h100%0%
Goals70%30%
Total63.2%36.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Narva U21 or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.38 @ Bet365
Draw5.70 @ 1xBet
Away6.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.25 @ Bet365
Under 2.54.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.39 @ Marathonbet
No2.94 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Narva U21 = 2.62 (league 2.19), Paide II = 0.49 (league 1.95)

Paide II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Narva U21 0 4.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 11.6% 5.7% 1.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
2 15.3% 7.5% 1.9% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
3 13.3% 6.6% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
4 8.7% 4.3% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 4.6% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 77.7% · Draw 12.3% · Away win 4.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1