Sun, Oct 12 2025 • 09:30 • Männiku staadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.37 (league 2.19) 1.65 (league 1.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
50.4% 19.5% 26.0%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.3%
1 - 1
7.0%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Narva U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nõmme United II 0 1.8% 3.0% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.2% 7.0% 5.8% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.0% 8.3% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 4.0% 6.6% 5.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
4 2.4% 3.9% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNõmme United IINarva U21
Played55
Form100%47%
Attack100%53%
Defense84%74%
Goals For (tot | avg)21 | 4.210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

82%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nõmme United II Narva U21
HATHAT
Played151530141630
Wins73%47%60%71%50%60%
Draws0%13%7%0%13%7%
Loses27%40%33%29%38%33%

Form: Nõmme United II: DLWWLWLLWWWLWWLWWWLWLLLWDWWWWW • Narva U21: WWDWLLWWWWLWWWWLWLWLLLWWWLDWWL

League goals

Metric Nõmme United II Narva U21
HATHAT
GF total393675353671
GF avg2.62.42.52.52.32.4
GA total212647133245
GA avg1.41.71.60.92.01.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNõmme United IINarva U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.583%77%83%63%
1.570%53%60%33%
2.543%20%50%17%
3.527%3%30%10%
4.520%3%10%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNõmme United IINarva U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets5277411
Failed to score235235

Penalties

MetricNõmme United IINarva U21
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total55

Streaks

MetricNõmme United IINarva U21
Wins34
Draws11
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-66-01-5
Biggest losses0-35-20-211-1
Goals For6665
Goals Against35411

Model comparison

MetricNõmme United IINarva U21
Form68%32%
Att68%32%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution61%39%
H2h67%33%
Goals50%50%
Total62.8%37.3%

Advice: Combo Winner : Nõmme United II and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.55 @ Betano
Draw3.65 @ Unibet
Away2.30 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.42 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.75 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.40 @ Unibet
No2.88 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nõmme United II = 2.37 (league 2.19), Narva U21 = 1.65 (league 1.95)

Narva U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nõmme United II 0 1.8% 3.0% 2.4% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
1 4.2% 7.0% 5.8% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.0% 8.3% 6.9% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 4.0% 6.6% 5.4% 3.0% 1.2% 0.4%
4 2.4% 3.9% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
5 1.1% 1.8% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 50.4% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 26.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1