Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 12:00 •
Ülenurme staadion
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 2.06)
0.67 (league 1.96)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 63.1% | 22.4% | 13.5% |
best score tips
1 - 0
15.3%
2 - 0
13.6%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
| Kuressaare II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tartu Kalev | 0 | 8.6% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.3% | 10.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.6% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.1% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | Tartu Kalev | Kuressaare II |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 33% | 47% |
| Attack | 16% | 16% |
| Defense | 77% | 65% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 5 | 1 | 5 | 1 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 7 | 1.4 | 11 | 2.2 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
2.90
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.80
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.90
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
3.40
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
93%
FT probability
2.5+
65%
FT probability
3.5+
46%
FT probability
BTTS
72%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | Tartu Kalev | Kuressaare II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 14 | 14 | 28 | 14 | 13 | 27 |
| Wins | 43% | 64% | 54% | 14% | 23% | 19% |
| Draws | 14% | 7% | 11% | 0% | 8% | 4% |
| Loses | 43% | 29% | 36% | 86% | 69% | 78% |
Form: Tartu Kalev: WWLWWWLLWWLWLWLLLWWWWDWLLWDD • Kuressaare II: LWLLWLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLWLWWDL
League goals
| Metric | Tartu Kalev | Kuressaare II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 23 | 28 | 51 | 15 | 16 | 31 |
| GF avg | 1.6 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 1.1 |
| GA total | 15 | 16 | 31 | 46 | 30 | 76 |
| GA avg | 1.1 | 1.1 | 1.1 | 3.3 | 2.3 | 2.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | Tartu Kalev | Kuressaare II | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 79% | 61% | 67% | 89% |
| 1.5 | 39% | 25% | 33% | 78% |
| 2.5 | 29% | 14% | 15% | 59% |
| 3.5 | 14% | 4% | 0% | 37% |
| 4.5 | 11% | 4% | 0% | 11% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | Tartu Kalev | Kuressaare II | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 4 | 7 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Failed to score | 4 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 9 |
Penalties
| Metric | Tartu Kalev | Kuressaare II |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 5 | 100.00% | 2 | 66.67% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 1 | 33.33% |
| Total | 5 | 3 |
Streaks
| Metric | Tartu Kalev | Kuressaare II |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 4 | 2 |
| Draws | 1 | 1 |
| Losses | 3 | 16 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 6-1 | 0-7 | 3-2 | 0-3 |
| Biggest losses | 0-3 | 6-1 | 1-6 | 6-2 |
| Goals For | 6 | 7 | 3 | 3 |
| Goals Against | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Model comparison
| Metric | Tartu Kalev | Kuressaare II |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 42% | 58% |
| Att | 50% | 50% |
| Def | 61% | 39% |
| Poisson Distribution | 73% | 27% |
| H2h | 80% | 20% |
| Goals | 71% | 29% |
| Total | 62.8% | 37.2% |
Advice: Double chance : Tartu Kalev or draw
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): Tartu Kalev = 1.78 (league 2.06), Kuressaare II = 0.67 (league 1.96)
| Kuressaare II | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| Tartu Kalev | 0 | 8.6% | 5.8% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| 1 | 15.3% | 10.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 2 | 13.6% | 9.2% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 3 | 8.1% | 5.5% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | |
| 4 | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
| 5 | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 63.1% · Draw 22.4% · Away win 13.5%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1