Esiliiga B — Estonia
Sun, Sep 21 2025 • 12:00 • Ülenurme staadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.68 (league 2.19) 0.68 (league 1.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
60.8% 23.7% 14.7%
best score tips
1 - 0
15.9%
2 - 0
13.4%
1 - 1
10.8%
Score & goals probability table
Kuressaare II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tartu Kalev 0 9.4% 6.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.9% 10.8% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 9.1% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.5% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTartu KalevKuressaare II
Played55
Form33%47%
Attack16%16%
Defense77%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)5 | 15 | 1
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.411 | 2.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

93%
FT probability

2.5+

65%
FT probability

3.5+

46%
FT probability

BTTS

72%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tartu Kalev Kuressaare II
HATHAT
Played141428141327
Wins43%64%54%14%23%19%
Draws14%7%11%0%8%4%
Loses43%29%36%86%69%78%

Form: Tartu Kalev: WWLWWWLLWWLWLWLLLWWWWDWLLWDD • Kuressaare II: LWLLWLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLWLWWDL

League goals

Metric Tartu Kalev Kuressaare II
HATHAT
GF total232851151631
GF avg1.62.01.81.11.21.1
GA total151631463076
GA avg1.11.11.13.32.32.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTartu KalevKuressaare II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%61%67%89%
1.539%25%33%78%
2.529%14%15%59%
3.514%4%0%37%
4.511%4%0%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTartu KalevKuressaare II
HATHAT
Clean sheets4711123
Failed to score426549

Penalties

MetricTartu KalevKuressaare II
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 66.67%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%1 | 33.33%
Total53

Streaks

MetricTartu KalevKuressaare II
Wins42
Draws11
Losses316

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-73-20-3
Biggest losses0-36-11-66-2
Goals For6733
Goals Against3666

Model comparison

MetricTartu KalevKuressaare II
Form42%58%
Att50%50%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h80%20%
Goals71%29%
Total62.8%37.2%

Advice: Double chance : Tartu Kalev or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tartu Kalev = 1.68 (league 2.19), Kuressaare II = 0.68 (league 1.95)

Kuressaare II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tartu Kalev 0 9.4% 6.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 15.9% 10.8% 3.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
2 13.4% 9.1% 3.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
3 7.5% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 3.1% 2.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 60.8% · Draw 23.7% · Away win 14.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1