Esiliiga B — Estonia
Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 13:00 • Narva Kalev-Fama staadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.35 (league 2.19) 1.39 (league 1.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
36.2% 25.6% 37.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.1%
0 - 1
8.9%
1 - 0
8.7%
Score & goals probability table
Maardu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Narva U21 0 6.5% 8.9% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.7% 12.1% 8.4% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.2% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.7% 3.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNarva U21Maardu
Played55
Form47%60%
Attack42%58%
Defense77%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.215 | 3
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.26 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.70
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

80%
FT probability

3.5+

57%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Narva U21 Maardu
HATHAT
Played151833181533
Wins73%44%58%78%80%79%
Draws0%17%9%11%13%12%
Loses27%39%33%11%7%9%

Form: Narva U21: WWDWLLWWWWLWWWWLWLWLLLWWWLDWWLLDW • Maardu: WWWLWWWWLLWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWDWDDDW

League goals

Metric Narva U21 Maardu
HATHAT
GF total4038786445109
GF avg2.72.12.43.63.03.3
GA total133649181634
GA avg0.92.01.51.01.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNarva U21Maardu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%64%94%61%
1.558%33%85%30%
2.548%18%58%12%
3.530%9%30%0%
4.512%6%27%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNarva U21Maardu
HATHAT
Clean sheets84127613
Failed to score235112

Penalties

MetricNarva U21Maardu
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total57

Streaks

MetricNarva U21Maardu
Wins417
Draws13
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-511-10-6
Biggest losses0-211-12-31-0
Goals For65116
Goals Against41133

Model comparison

MetricNarva U21Maardu
Form44%56%
Att42%58%
Def50%50%
Poisson Distribution51%49%
H2h33%67%
Goals16%84%
Total39.3%60.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Maardu

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

No odds available for this fixture.

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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Narva U21 = 1.35 (league 2.19), Maardu = 1.39 (league 1.95)

Maardu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Narva U21 0 6.5% 8.9% 6.2% 2.9% 1.0% 0.3%
1 8.7% 12.1% 8.4% 3.9% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.9% 8.2% 5.7% 2.6% 0.9% 0.3%
3 2.7% 3.7% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 36.2% · Draw 25.6% · Away win 37.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1