Esiliiga B — Estonia
Sun, Sep 28 2025 • 09:30 • Wismari staadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.71 (league 2.06) 2.46 (league 1.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
25.6% 19.0% 50.6%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.0%
2 - 2
6.8%
1 - 3
6.6%
Score & goals probability table
Narva U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Legion 0 1.5% 3.8% 4.7% 3.9% 2.4% 1.2%
1 2.6% 6.5% 8.0% 6.6% 4.0% 2.0%
2 2.3% 5.5% 6.8% 5.6% 3.5% 1.7%
3 1.3% 3.2% 3.9% 3.2% 2.0% 1.0%
4 0.5% 1.3% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLegionNarva U21
Played55
Form20%67%
Attack39%70%
Defense17%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)9 | 1.816 | 3.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)19 | 3.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

81%
FT probability

3.5+

58%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Legion Narva U21
HATHAT
Played141529131427
Wins21%60%41%69%50%59%
Draws36%0%17%0%14%7%
Loses43%40%41%31%36%33%

Form: Legion: DWDWDWWLLWLLWDWDLWWWLWLLLLLWL • Narva U21: WWDWLLWWWWLWWWWLWLWLLLWWWLD

League goals

Metric Legion Narva U21
HATHAT
GF total223355313263
GF avg1.62.21.92.42.32.3
GA total303464123143
GA avg2.12.32.20.92.21.6

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLegionNarva U21
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%86%85%63%
1.555%62%59%37%
2.531%34%48%19%
3.517%17%26%11%
4.53%14%11%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLegionNarva U21
HATHAT
Clean sheets2247310
Failed to score246224

Penalties

MetricLegionNarva U21
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total25

Streaks

MetricLegionNarva U21
Wins34
Draws11
Losses53

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-66-01-5
Biggest losses0-46-00-211-1
Goals For3665
Goals Against56411

Model comparison

MetricLegionNarva U21
Form23%77%
Att36%64%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution40%60%
H2h7%93%
Goals20%80%
Total25.5%74.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Narva U21 and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home5.00 @ Betfair
Draw4.95 @ Pinnacle
Away1.65 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.37 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.20 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.43 @ Superbet
No2.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Legion = 1.71 (league 2.06), Narva U21 = 2.46 (league 1.96)

Narva U21
0 1 2 3 4 5
Legion 0 1.5% 3.8% 4.7% 3.9% 2.4% 1.2%
1 2.6% 6.5% 8.0% 6.6% 4.0% 2.0%
2 2.3% 5.5% 6.8% 5.6% 3.5% 1.7%
3 1.3% 3.2% 3.9% 3.2% 2.0% 1.0%
4 0.5% 1.3% 1.7% 1.4% 0.8% 0.4%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 25.6% · Draw 19.0% · Away win 50.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1