Esiliiga B — Estonia
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 12:00 • Maardu linnastaadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.38 (league 2.13) 0.87 (league 1.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
67.4% 17.2% 12.0%
best score tips
2 - 0
11.0%
2 - 1
9.6%
1 - 0
9.2%
Score & goals probability table
Tartu Kalev
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maardu 0 3.9% 3.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.2% 8.0% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.0% 9.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.7% 7.6% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.2% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMaarduTartu Kalev
Played55
Form73%53%
Attack91%39%
Defense74%70%
Goals For (tot | avg)21 | 4.29 | 1.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)6 | 1.27 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

74%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maardu Tartu Kalev
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins87%80%83%47%60%53%
Draws0%13%7%13%7%10%
Loses13%7%10%40%33%37%

Form: Maardu: WWWLWWWWLLWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWDWD • Tartu Kalev: WWLWWWLLWWLWLWLLLWWWWDWLLWDDWL

League goals

Metric Maardu Tartu Kalev
HATHAT
GF total5845103262955
GF avg3.93.03.41.71.91.8
GA total141630161935
GA avg0.91.11.01.11.31.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMaarduTartu Kalev
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.593%60%80%63%
1.583%27%40%27%
2.563%13%30%17%
3.533%0%13%3%
4.530%0%10%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMaarduTartu Kalev
HATHAT
Clean sheets66124711
Failed to score112426

Penalties

MetricMaarduTartu Kalev
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total75

Streaks

MetricMaarduTartu Kalev
Wins174
Draws12
Losses23

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins11-10-66-10-7
Biggest losses2-31-00-36-1
Goals For11667
Goals Against3336

Model comparison

MetricMaarduTartu Kalev
Form58%42%
Att70%30%
Def54%46%
Poisson Distribution73%27%
H2h100%0%
Goals91%9%
Total69.2%30.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Maardu and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ Bet365
Draw6.56 @ Pinnacle
Away9.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.29 @ Betfair
Under 2.53.75 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.57 @ Betfair
No2.40 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
📊

League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Maardu = 2.38 (league 2.13), Tartu Kalev = 0.87 (league 1.96)

Tartu Kalev
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maardu 0 3.9% 3.4% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
1 9.2% 8.0% 3.5% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.0% 9.6% 4.2% 1.2% 0.3% 0.0%
3 8.7% 7.6% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 5.2% 4.5% 2.0% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
5 2.5% 2.1% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 67.4% · Draw 17.2% · Away win 12.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1