Esiliiga B — Estonia
Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 09:30 • Tabasalu Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 2.19) 0.80 (league 1.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
55.9% 24.9% 18.6%
best score tips
1 - 0
14.5%
2 - 0
11.6%
1 - 1
11.6%
Score & goals probability table
Paide II
0 1 2 3 4 5
JK Tabasalu 0 9.0% 7.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.5% 11.6% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.3% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.2% 5.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricJK TabasaluPaide II
Played55
Form53%40%
Attack47%20%
Defense57%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.86 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

68%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric JK Tabasalu Paide II
HATHAT
Played151530151530
Wins53%27%40%27%20%23%
Draws20%20%20%27%13%20%
Loses27%53%40%47%67%57%

Form: JK Tabasalu: LLLLLLWWWDWWWDDWLWLLWWDLLLDDWW • Paide II: LLWLWLLWLLDLLLLDWLWLLWLLDWDDLD

League goals

Metric JK Tabasalu Paide II
HATHAT
GF total242751311849
GF avg1.61.81.72.11.21.6
GA total203353343367
GA avg1.32.21.82.32.22.2

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineJK TabasaluPaide II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%77%73%90%
1.557%50%53%63%
2.513%30%23%43%
3.510%10%7%17%
4.53%7%3%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricJK TabasaluPaide II
HATHAT
Clean sheets527213
Failed to score134268

Penalties

MetricJK TabasaluPaide II
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricJK TabasaluPaide II
Wins31
Draws22
Losses64

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins4-00-56-11-3
Biggest losses1-46-00-65-0
Goals For4563
Goals Against4665

Model comparison

MetricJK TabasaluPaide II
Form57%43%
Att70%30%
Def35%65%
Poisson Distribution67%33%
H2h50%50%
Goals50%50%
Total54.8%45.2%

Advice: Double chance : JK Tabasalu or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.10 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.10 @ Unibet
Away2.88 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.60 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.29 @ Superbet
No3.60 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): JK Tabasalu = 1.61 (league 2.19), Paide II = 0.80 (league 1.95)

Paide II
0 1 2 3 4 5
JK Tabasalu 0 9.0% 7.2% 2.9% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%
1 14.5% 11.6% 4.6% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
2 11.6% 9.3% 3.7% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
3 6.2% 5.0% 2.0% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
4 2.5% 2.0% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.8% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 55.9% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 18.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1