Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 12:00 • Ülenurme staadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.36 (league 2.13) 1.35 (league 1.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
37.1% 25.8% 36.6%
best score tips
1 - 1
12.2%
1 - 0
9.1%
0 - 1
9.0%
Score & goals probability table
Nõmme United II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tartu Kalev 0 6.7% 9.0% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.1% 12.2% 8.2% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.2% 8.3% 5.6% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.8% 3.7% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTartu KalevNõmme United II
Played55
Form40%100%
Attack40%90%
Defense60%80%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.618 | 3.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.64 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

70%
FT probability

3.5+

50%
FT probability

BTTS

76%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tartu Kalev Nõmme United II
HATHAT
Played151631161531
Wins47%56%52%75%47%61%
Draws13%13%13%0%13%6%
Loses40%31%35%25%40%32%

Form: Tartu Kalev: WWLWWWLLWWLWLWLLLWWWWDWLLWDDWLD • Nõmme United II: DLWWLWLLWWWLWWLWWWLWLLLWDWWWWWW

League goals

Metric Tartu Kalev Nõmme United II
HATHAT
GF total263157423678
GF avg1.71.91.82.62.42.5
GA total162137222648
GA avg1.11.31.21.41.71.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTartu KalevNõmme United II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.581%65%84%77%
1.542%29%71%52%
2.529%16%45%19%
3.513%3%26%3%
4.510%3%19%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTartu KalevNõmme United II
HATHAT
Clean sheets4711527
Failed to score426235

Penalties

MetricTartu KalevNõmme United II
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total55

Streaks

MetricTartu KalevNõmme United II
Wins43
Draws21
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-76-00-6
Biggest losses0-36-10-35-2
Goals For6766
Goals Against3635

Model comparison

MetricTartu KalevNõmme United II
Form29%71%
Att31%69%
Def33%67%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h33%67%
Goals38%63%
Total36.0%64.2%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Nõmme United II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.27 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.20 @ Bet365
Away2.48 @ Marathonbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.36 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.00 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.32 @ Marathonbet
No3.05 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tartu Kalev = 1.36 (league 2.13), Nõmme United II = 1.35 (league 1.96)

Nõmme United II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tartu Kalev 0 6.7% 9.0% 6.1% 2.7% 0.9% 0.2%
1 9.1% 12.2% 8.2% 3.7% 1.2% 0.3%
2 6.2% 8.3% 5.6% 2.5% 0.8% 0.2%
3 2.8% 3.7% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1%
4 0.9% 1.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 37.1% · Draw 25.8% · Away win 36.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1