Esiliiga B — Estonia
Sat, Oct 18 2025 • 12:30 • Sportland Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.61 (league 2.19) 2.13 (league 1.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
28.8% 20.8% 47.6%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.7%
1 - 1
8.2%
2 - 2
7.0%
Score & goals probability table
JK Tabasalu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Legion 0 2.4% 5.1% 5.4% 3.8% 2.0% 0.9%
1 3.8% 8.2% 8.7% 6.2% 3.3% 1.4%
2 3.1% 6.6% 7.0% 4.9% 2.6% 1.1%
3 1.7% 3.5% 3.7% 2.7% 1.4% 0.6%
4 0.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLegionJK Tabasalu
Played55
Form27%60%
Attack58%68%
Defense0%68%
Goals For (tot | avg)11 | 2.213 | 2.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)19 | 3.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Legion JK Tabasalu
HATHAT
Played161632161632
Wins19%56%38%50%25%38%
Draws38%0%19%25%25%25%
Loses44%44%44%25%50%38%

Form: Legion: DWDWDWWLLWLLWDWDLWWWLWLLLLLWLLLD • JK Tabasalu: LLLLLLWWWDWWWDDWLWLLWWDLLLDDWWDD

League goals

Metric Legion JK Tabasalu
HATHAT
GF total253459242953
GF avg1.62.11.81.51.81.7
GA total373976203555
GA avg2.32.42.41.32.21.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLegionJK Tabasalu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%88%84%75%
1.553%66%56%50%
2.531%41%13%28%
3.516%22%9%9%
4.53%16%3%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLegionJK Tabasalu
HATHAT
Clean sheets224628
Failed to score347235

Penalties

MetricLegionJK Tabasalu
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total22

Streaks

MetricLegionJK Tabasalu
Wins33
Draws12
Losses56

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins2-01-64-00-5
Biggest losses0-46-01-46-0
Goals For3645
Goals Against5646

Model comparison

MetricLegionJK Tabasalu
Form31%69%
Att46%54%
Def24%76%
Poisson Distribution43%57%
H2h50%50%
Goals53%47%
Total41.2%58.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or JK Tabasalu and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.20 @ Bet365
Draw4.12 @ Pinnacle
Away2.00 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.25 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.29 @ Marathonbet
No3.22 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Legion = 1.61 (league 2.19), JK Tabasalu = 2.13 (league 1.95)

JK Tabasalu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Legion 0 2.4% 5.1% 5.4% 3.8% 2.0% 0.9%
1 3.8% 8.2% 8.7% 6.2% 3.3% 1.4%
2 3.1% 6.6% 7.0% 4.9% 2.6% 1.1%
3 1.7% 3.5% 3.7% 2.7% 1.4% 0.6%
4 0.7% 1.4% 1.5% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.2% 0.5% 0.5% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 28.8% · Draw 20.8% · Away win 47.6%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1