Esiliiga B — Estonia
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 10:00 • Maardu linnastaadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.90 (league 2.11) 1.30 (league 1.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
62.9% 15.3% 14.2%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.2%
3 - 1
7.9%
2 - 0
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
Johvi Phoenix
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maardu 0 1.5% 1.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 4.3% 5.6% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.3% 8.2% 5.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.1% 7.9% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.4% 5.8% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.6% 3.3% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMaarduJohvi Phoenix
Played55
Form47%87%
Attack76%95%
Defense57%76%
Goals For (tot | avg)16 | 3.220 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.85 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.10
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

63%
FT probability

BTTS

84%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maardu Johvi Phoenix
HATHAT
Played171532171532
Wins76%80%78%65%60%63%
Draws12%13%13%18%13%16%
Loses12%7%9%18%27%22%

Form: Maardu: WWWLWWWWLLWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWDWDDD • Johvi Phoenix: WLDWDWWWLDDWLLWWWWLWWLWWWLWDWWWW

League goals

Metric Maardu Johvi Phoenix
HATHAT
GF total6245107553590
GF avg3.63.03.33.22.32.8
GA total181634292554
GA avg1.11.11.11.71.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMaarduJohvi Phoenix
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%63%91%88%
1.584%31%78%50%
2.559%13%66%22%
3.531%0%22%6%
4.528%0%13%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMaarduJohvi Phoenix
HATHAT
Clean sheets6612224
Failed to score112123

Penalties

MetricMaarduJohvi Phoenix
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total77

Streaks

MetricMaarduJohvi Phoenix
Wins174
Draws12
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins11-10-68-11-4
Biggest losses2-31-03-54-2
Goals For11684
Goals Against3354

Model comparison

MetricMaarduJohvi Phoenix
Form35%65%
Att44%56%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution70%30%
H2h100%0%
Goals73%27%
Total51.6%48.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Maardu or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.53 @ Unibet
Draw5.88 @ Pinnacle
Away5.04 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.29 @ Unibet
Under 2.54.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.38 @ Unibet
No3.20 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Maardu = 2.90 (league 2.11), Johvi Phoenix = 1.30 (league 1.95)

Johvi Phoenix
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maardu 0 1.5% 1.9% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
1 4.3% 5.6% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
2 6.3% 8.2% 5.3% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2%
3 6.1% 7.9% 5.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
4 4.4% 5.8% 3.7% 1.6% 0.5% 0.1%
5 2.6% 3.3% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 62.9% · Draw 15.3% · Away win 14.2%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1