Wed, Oct 22 2025 • 15:00 • Männiku kunstmuru
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.15 (league 2.06) 1.58 (league 1.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.6% 20.7% 27.9%
best score tips
2 - 1
8.8%
1 - 1
8.2%
2 - 2
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Johvi Phoenix
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nõmme United II 0 2.4% 3.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 5.2% 8.2% 6.4% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.5% 8.8% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5%
3 4.0% 6.3% 5.0% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.1% 3.4% 2.7% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.9% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNõmme United IIJohvi Phoenix
Played55
Form100%80%
Attack100%100%
Defense82%71%
Goals For (tot | avg)19 | 3.818 | 3.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)3 | 0.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.30
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

82%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nõmme United II Johvi Phoenix
HATHAT
Played161632171633
Wins75%50%63%65%56%61%
Draws0%13%6%18%13%15%
Loses25%38%31%18%31%24%

Form: Nõmme United II: DLWWLWLLWWWLWWLWWWLWLLLWDWWWWWWW • Johvi Phoenix: WLDWDWWWLDDWLLWWWWLWWLWWWLWDWWWWL

League goals

Metric Nõmme United II Johvi Phoenix
HATHAT
GF total424082553590
GF avg2.62.52.63.22.22.7
GA total222648292756
GA avg1.41.61.51.71.71.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNõmme United IIJohvi Phoenix
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%75%88%88%
1.572%50%76%52%
2.547%19%64%21%
3.528%3%21%6%
4.519%3%12%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNõmme United IIJohvi Phoenix
HATHAT
Clean sheets538224
Failed to score235134

Penalties

MetricNõmme United IIJohvi Phoenix
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total57

Streaks

MetricNõmme United IIJohvi Phoenix
Wins34
Draws12
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-68-11-4
Biggest losses0-35-23-54-2
Goals For6684
Goals Against3554

Model comparison

MetricNõmme United IIJohvi Phoenix
Form56%44%
Att51%49%
Def63%38%
Poisson Distribution58%42%
H2h33%67%
Goals41%59%
Total50.3%49.8%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Johvi Phoenix and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.25 @ Dafabet
Draw4.33 @ Bet365
Away2.85 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.23 @ Unibet
Under 2.54.50 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.25 @ Unibet
No4.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nõmme United II = 2.15 (league 2.06), Johvi Phoenix = 1.58 (league 1.95)

Johvi Phoenix
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nõmme United II 0 2.4% 3.8% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2%
1 5.2% 8.2% 6.4% 3.4% 1.3% 0.4%
2 5.5% 8.8% 6.9% 3.6% 1.4% 0.5%
3 4.0% 6.3% 5.0% 2.6% 1.0% 0.3%
4 2.1% 3.4% 2.7% 1.4% 0.6% 0.2%
5 0.9% 1.4% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.6% · Draw 20.7% · Away win 27.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1