Esiliiga B — Estonia
Thu, Oct 23 2025 • 15:00 • Kuressaare Linnastaadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.96 (league 2.19) 1.92 (league 1.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.3% 21.8% 58.5%
best score tips
0 - 1
10.8%
0 - 2
10.4%
1 - 1
10.3%
Score & goals probability table
Paide II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kuressaare II 0 5.6% 10.8% 10.4% 6.6% 3.2% 1.2%
1 5.4% 10.3% 9.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.6% 5.0% 4.8% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6%
3 0.8% 1.6% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricKuressaare IIPaide II
Played55
Form7%27%
Attack41%24%
Defense0%65%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)19 | 3.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

78%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Kuressaare II Paide II
HATHAT
Played151732161632
Wins13%18%16%25%19%22%
Draws0%12%6%31%19%25%
Loses87%71%78%44%63%53%

Form: Kuressaare II: LWLLWLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLWLWWDLLLLDL • Paide II: LLWLWLLWLLDLLLLDWLWLLWLLDWDDLDDD

League goals

Metric Kuressaare II Paide II
HATHAT
GF total152338321850
GF avg1.01.41.22.01.11.6
GA total514495353368
GA avg3.42.63.02.22.12.1

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineKuressaare IIPaide II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.569%91%72%88%
1.534%81%50%59%
2.516%66%22%41%
3.50%41%6%16%
4.50%13%3%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricKuressaare IIPaide II
HATHAT
Clean sheets123224
Failed to score6410279

Penalties

MetricKuressaare IIPaide II
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricKuressaare IIPaide II
Wins21
Draws12
Losses164

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-20-36-11-3
Biggest losses1-66-20-65-0
Goals For3363
Goals Against6665

Model comparison

MetricKuressaare IIPaide II
Form20%80%
Att64%36%
Def24%76%
Poisson Distribution33%67%
H2h13%88%
Goals13%88%
Total27.8%72.5%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Paide II

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home8.50 @ Bwin
Draw6.85 @ 1xBet
Away1.29 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.43 @ 1xBet
No3.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.18 @ Betway
Under 2.54.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Kuressaare II = 0.96 (league 2.19), Paide II = 1.92 (league 1.95)

Paide II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Kuressaare II 0 5.6% 10.8% 10.4% 6.6% 3.2% 1.2%
1 5.4% 10.3% 9.9% 6.4% 3.1% 1.2%
2 2.6% 5.0% 4.8% 3.0% 1.5% 0.6%
3 0.8% 1.6% 1.5% 1.0% 0.5% 0.2%
4 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.3% · Draw 21.8% · Away win 58.5%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1