Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 10:30 • Ülenurme staadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.88 (league 2.11) 0.60 (league 1.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
76.5% 11.2% 5.1%
best score tips
2 - 0
12.8%
3 - 0
12.3%
1 - 0
8.8%
Score & goals probability table
Läänemaa Haapsalu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tartu Kalev 0 3.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.8% 5.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.8% 7.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.3% 7.4% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.8% 5.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.1% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTartu KalevLäänemaa Haapsalu
Played55
Form47%20%
Attack58%31%
Defense50%8%
Goals For (tot | avg)15 | 38 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.624 | 4.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

77%
FT probability

3.5+

55%
FT probability

BTTS

75%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tartu Kalev Läänemaa Haapsalu
HATHAT
Played161733171633
Wins44%59%52%6%13%9%
Draws13%12%12%0%13%6%
Loses44%29%36%94%75%85%

Form: Tartu Kalev: WWLWWWLLWWLWLWLLLWWWWDWLLWDDWLDLW • Läänemaa Haapsalu: LLDLLLLLWLWLLLDLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLWL

League goals

Metric Tartu Kalev Läänemaa Haapsalu
HATHAT
GF total264066141428
GF avg1.62.42.00.80.90.8
GA total2024446260122
GA avg1.31.41.33.63.83.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTartu KalevLäänemaa Haapsalu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%67%58%97%
1.542%33%15%88%
2.530%21%6%70%
3.515%6%6%48%
4.512%3%0%33%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTartu KalevLäänemaa Haapsalu
HATHAT
Clean sheets4711011
Failed to score5277714

Penalties

MetricTartu KalevLäänemaa Haapsalu
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricTartu KalevLäänemaa Haapsalu
Wins41
Draws21
Losses316

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-10-74-22-4
Biggest losses0-46-10-78-1
Goals For6944
Goals Against4678

Model comparison

MetricTartu KalevLäänemaa Haapsalu
Form70%30%
Att65%35%
Def65%35%
Poisson Distribution84%16%
H2h93%7%
Goals85%15%
Total77.0%23.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Tartu Kalev or draw and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.05 @ Unibet
Draw14.00 @ 1xBet
Away33.00 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.98 @ Marathonbet
No1.88 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.09 @ Unibet
Under 2.56.15 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tartu Kalev = 2.88 (league 2.11), Läänemaa Haapsalu = 0.60 (league 1.95)

Läänemaa Haapsalu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tartu Kalev 0 3.1% 1.8% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 8.8% 5.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
2 12.8% 7.7% 2.3% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
3 12.3% 7.4% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
4 8.8% 5.3% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
5 5.1% 3.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 76.5% · Draw 11.2% · Away win 5.1%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1