Esiliiga B — Estonia
Sat, Oct 11 2025 • 12:00 • Maardu linnastaadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.05 (league 2.06) 0.92 (league 1.96)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
66.8% 6.9% 3.9%
best score tips
4 - 0
7.8%
3 - 0
7.7%
4 - 1
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
JK Tabasalu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maardu 0 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.8% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.7% 5.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.7% 7.1% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.8% 7.2% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
5 6.3% 5.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricMaarduJK Tabasalu
Played55
Form60%60%
Attack89%74%
Defense58%63%
Goals For (tot | avg)17 | 3.414 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.67 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

83%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Maardu JK Tabasalu
HATHAT
Played161531161531
Wins81%80%81%50%27%39%
Draws6%13%10%25%20%23%
Loses13%7%10%25%53%39%

Form: Maardu: WWWLWWWWLLWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWDWDD • JK Tabasalu: LLLLLLWWWDWWWDDWLWLLWWDLLLDDWWD

League goals

Metric Maardu JK Tabasalu
HATHAT
GF total6045105242751
GF avg3.83.03.41.51.81.6
GA total161632203353
GA avg1.01.11.01.32.21.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineMaarduJK Tabasalu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%61%84%74%
1.584%29%55%48%
2.561%13%13%29%
3.532%0%10%10%
4.529%0%3%6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricMaarduJK Tabasalu
HATHAT
Clean sheets6612628
Failed to score112235

Penalties

MetricMaarduJK Tabasalu
Scored (total | %)7 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total72

Streaks

MetricMaarduJK Tabasalu
Wins173
Draws12
Losses26

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins11-10-64-00-5
Biggest losses2-31-01-46-0
Goals For11645
Goals Against3346

Model comparison

MetricMaarduJK Tabasalu
Form50%50%
Att55%45%
Def47%53%
Poisson Distribution81%19%
H2h88%13%
Goals57%43%
Total63.0%37.2%

Advice: Combo Winner : Maardu and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.11 @ Unibet
Draw10.71 @ Pinnacle
Away17.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.68 @ Unibet
No2.12 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.16 @ Unibet
Under 2.55.50 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Maardu = 4.05 (league 2.06), JK Tabasalu = 0.92 (league 1.96)

JK Tabasalu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Maardu 0 0.7% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 2.8% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
2 5.7% 5.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
3 7.7% 7.1% 3.2% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
4 7.8% 7.2% 3.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
5 6.3% 5.8% 2.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 66.8% · Draw 6.9% · Away win 3.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1