Thu, Oct 30 2025 • 17:30 • Männiku kunstmuru
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.31 (league 2.19) 2.09 (league 1.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.4% 21.0% 53.3%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.6%
1 - 1
9.2%
0 - 2
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Maardu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nõmme United II 0 3.4% 7.0% 7.3% 5.1% 2.6% 1.1%
1 4.4% 9.2% 9.6% 6.6% 3.5% 1.4%
2 2.9% 6.0% 6.2% 4.3% 2.3% 0.9%
3 1.3% 2.6% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNõmme United IIMaardu
Played55
Form100%60%
Attack59%31%
Defense88%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)19 | 3.810 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.87 | 1.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.50
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

82%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nõmme United II Maardu
HATHAT
Played171734181634
Wins76%53%65%78%81%79%
Draws0%12%6%11%13%12%
Loses24%35%29%11%6%9%

Form: Nõmme United II: DLWWLWLLWWWLWWLWWWLWLLLWDWWWWWWWWW • Maardu: WWWLWWWWLLWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWWDWDDDWW

League goals

Metric Nõmme United II Maardu
HATHAT
GF total4544896447111
GF avg2.62.62.63.62.93.3
GA total232750181735
GA avg1.41.61.51.01.11.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNõmme United IIMaardu
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.585%76%94%62%
1.574%47%85%29%
2.550%18%56%12%
3.529%3%29%0%
4.518%3%26%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNõmme United IIMaardu
HATHAT
Clean sheets5387613
Failed to score235112

Penalties

MetricNõmme United IIMaardu
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total58

Streaks

MetricNõmme United IIMaardu
Wins317
Draws13
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-00-611-10-6
Biggest losses0-35-22-31-0
Goals For66116
Goals Against3533

Model comparison

MetricNõmme United IIMaardu
Form63%38%
Att66%34%
Def64%36%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h0%100%
Goals27%73%
Total51.8%48.4%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Nõmme United II or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.40 @ 10Bet
Draw4.36 @ Pinnacle
Away1.87 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.23 @ Superbet
Under 2.54.00 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.28 @ Superbet
No3.60 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nõmme United II = 1.31 (league 2.19), Maardu = 2.09 (league 1.95)

Maardu
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nõmme United II 0 3.4% 7.0% 7.3% 5.1% 2.6% 1.1%
1 4.4% 9.2% 9.6% 6.6% 3.5% 1.4%
2 2.9% 6.0% 6.2% 4.3% 2.3% 0.9%
3 1.3% 2.6% 2.7% 1.9% 1.0% 0.4%
4 0.4% 0.9% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.4% · Draw 21.0% · Away win 53.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1