Esiliiga B — Estonia
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 15:00 • Paide linnastaadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.89 (league 2.19) 2.37 (league 1.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.0% 19.5% 45.8%
best score tips
1 - 2
7.5%
2 - 2
7.1%
1 - 1
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
Johvi Phoenix
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paide II 0 1.4% 3.3% 4.0% 3.1% 1.9% 0.9%
1 2.7% 6.3% 7.5% 5.9% 3.5% 1.7%
2 2.5% 6.0% 7.1% 5.6% 3.3% 1.6%
3 1.6% 3.8% 4.5% 3.5% 2.1% 1.0%
4 0.8% 1.8% 2.1% 1.7% 1.0% 0.5%
5 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricPaide IIJohvi Phoenix
Played55
Form73%60%
Attack52%52%
Defense85%78%
Goals For (tot | avg)14 | 2.814 | 2.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)4 | 0.86 | 1.2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.40
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

83%
FT probability

3.5+

59%
FT probability

BTTS

85%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Paide II Johvi Phoenix
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins29%28%29%67%53%60%
Draws29%17%23%17%12%14%
Loses41%56%49%17%35%26%

Form: Paide II: LLWLWLLWLLDLLLLDWLWLLWLLDWDDLDDDWWW • Johvi Phoenix: WLDWDWWWLDDWLLWWWWLWWLWWWLWDWWWWLLW

League goals

Metric Paide II Johvi Phoenix
HATHAT
GF total392463593695
GF avg2.31.31.83.32.12.7
GA total373471293059
GA avg2.21.92.01.61.81.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LinePaide IIJohvi Phoenix
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.574%86%89%86%
1.554%57%74%51%
2.529%37%63%23%
3.59%14%23%6%
4.56%6%11%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricPaide IIJohvi Phoenix
HATHAT
Clean sheets235325
Failed to score279134

Penalties

MetricPaide IIJohvi Phoenix
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total38

Streaks

MetricPaide IIJohvi Phoenix
Wins14
Draws32
Losses42

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-20-38-11-4
Biggest losses0-65-03-54-2
Goals For7384
Goals Against6554

Model comparison

MetricPaide IIJohvi Phoenix
Form55%45%
Att50%50%
Def60%40%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h13%88%
Goals40%60%
Total43.7%56.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Johvi Phoenix and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home4.20 @ Unibet
Draw5.66 @ Pinnacle
Away1.71 @ Pinnacle

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.26 @ Unibet
No4.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.17 @ Unibet
Under 2.55.50 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Paide II = 1.89 (league 2.19), Johvi Phoenix = 2.37 (league 1.95)

Johvi Phoenix
0 1 2 3 4 5
Paide II 0 1.4% 3.3% 4.0% 3.1% 1.9% 0.9%
1 2.7% 6.3% 7.5% 5.9% 3.5% 1.7%
2 2.5% 6.0% 7.1% 5.6% 3.3% 1.6%
3 1.6% 3.8% 4.5% 3.5% 2.1% 1.0%
4 0.8% 1.8% 2.1% 1.7% 1.0% 0.5%
5 0.3% 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.0% · Draw 19.5% · Away win 45.8%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1