Esiliiga B — Estonia
Sun, Nov 9 2025 • 15:00 • Narva Kalev-Fama staadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.60 (league 2.19) 1.11 (league 1.95)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
48.1% 24.9% 26.3%
best score tips
1 - 1
11.8%
1 - 0
10.7%
2 - 1
9.5%
Score & goals probability table
Tartu Kalev
0 1 2 3 4 5
Narva U21 0 6.7% 7.4% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.7% 11.8% 6.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.5% 9.5% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.5% 5.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNarva U21Tartu Kalev
Played55
Form47%67%
Attack42%100%
Defense71%50%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 225 | 5
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.412 | 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.60
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

73%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

1 - 3 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Narva U21 Tartu Kalev
HATHAT
Played171835181735
Wins71%44%57%50%59%54%
Draws0%17%9%11%12%11%
Loses29%39%34%39%29%34%

Form: Narva U21: WWDWLLWWWWLWWWWLWLWLLLWWWLDWWLLDWLW • Tartu Kalev: WWLWWWLLWWLWLWLLLWWWWDWLLWDDWLDLWWW

League goals

Metric Narva U21 Tartu Kalev
HATHAT
GF total433881404080
GF avg2.52.12.32.22.42.3
GA total163652232447
GA avg0.92.01.51.31.41.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNarva U21Tartu Kalev
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.586%66%80%66%
1.557%34%46%34%
2.546%17%34%23%
3.529%9%20%6%
4.511%6%14%3%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNarva U21Tartu Kalev
HATHAT
Clean sheets84125712
Failed to score235527

Penalties

MetricNarva U21Tartu Kalev
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total55

Streaks

MetricNarva U21Tartu Kalev
Wins44
Draws12
Losses33

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins6-01-510-00-7
Biggest losses0-211-10-46-1
Goals For65109
Goals Against41146

Model comparison

MetricNarva U21Tartu Kalev
Form41%59%
Att29%71%
Def63%37%
Poisson Distribution59%41%
H2h62%38%
Goals54%46%
Total51.3%48.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Narva U21 or draw and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.35 @ Betano
Draw3.65 @ Unibet
Away2.55 @ 10Bet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.47 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.55 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.44 @ Unibet
No2.75 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Narva U21 = 1.60 (league 2.19), Tartu Kalev = 1.11 (league 1.95)

Tartu Kalev
0 1 2 3 4 5
Narva U21 0 6.7% 7.4% 4.1% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
1 10.7% 11.8% 6.6% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1%
2 8.5% 9.5% 5.2% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 4.5% 5.0% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 1.8% 2.0% 1.1% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
5 0.6% 0.6% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 48.1% · Draw 24.9% · Away win 26.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1