Sun, Oct 5 2025 • 11:00 •
Romssa Arena
Expected Goals
1.04 (league 1.81)
2.53 (league 1.41)
1x2 probabilities
| home | draw | away |
|---|---|---|
| 13.6% | 16.8% | 65.2% |
best score tips
1 - 2
9.4%
0 - 2
9.0%
1 - 3
7.9%
Score & goals probability table
| Fortuna Ålesund W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| TIL 2020 W | 0 | 2.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Pre-match predictions & statistics
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Team comparison
Last 5 results
| Metric | TIL 2020 W | Fortuna Ålesund W |
|---|---|---|
| Played | 5 | 5 |
| Form | 47% | 80% |
| Attack | 67% | 87% |
| Defense | 27% | 73% |
| Goals For (tot | avg) | 10 | 2 | 13 | 2.6 |
| Goals Against (tot | avg) | 11 | 2.2 | 4 | 0.8 |
Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)
4.10
Home all + Away all
Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
4.20
Home @home + Away @away
Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)
3.00
Home all + Away all
Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)
2.60
Home @home + Away @away
1.5+
95%
FT probability
2.5+
70%
FT probability
3.5+
50%
FT probability
BTTS
78%
FT probability
Yellow Cards
1 - 2 cards
Expected (per game)
League fixtures
| Metric | TIL 2020 W | Fortuna Ålesund W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Played | 9 | 10 | 19 | 10 | 9 | 19 |
| Wins | 44% | 10% | 26% | 70% | 56% | 63% |
| Draws | 22% | 30% | 26% | 30% | 33% | 32% |
| Loses | 33% | 60% | 47% | 0% | 11% | 5% |
Form: TIL 2020 W: LLLLDDWLWLWLDDLDLWW • Fortuna Ålesund W: WDWWDDDWWWDDWWWLWWW
League goals
| Metric | TIL 2020 W | Fortuna Ålesund W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| GF total | 19 | 13 | 32 | 26 | 19 | 45 |
| GF avg | 2.1 | 1.3 | 1.7 | 2.6 | 2.1 | 2.4 |
| GA total | 15 | 27 | 42 | 7 | 8 | 15 |
| GA avg | 1.7 | 2.7 | 2.2 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.8 |
Under/Over distribution (percent)
| Line | TIL 2020 W | Fortuna Ålesund W | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| For | Against | For | Against | |
| 0.5 | 84% | 84% | 95% | 58% |
| 1.5 | 42% | 53% | 68% | 21% |
| 2.5 | 21% | 47% | 42% | 0% |
| 3.5 | 16% | 32% | 26% | 0% |
| 4.5 | 5% | 5% | 5% | 0% |
Clean sheets & failed to score
| Metric | TIL 2020 W | Fortuna Ålesund W | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H | A | T | H | A | T | |
| Clean sheets | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 8 |
| Failed to score | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
Penalties
| Metric | TIL 2020 W | Fortuna Ålesund W |
|---|---|---|
| Scored (total | %) | 2 | 100.00% | 0 | 0% |
| Missed (total | %) | 0 | 0% | 0 | 0% |
| Total | 2 | 0 |
Streaks
| Metric | TIL 2020 W | Fortuna Ålesund W |
|---|---|---|
| Wins | 1 | 3 |
| Draws | 2 | 3 |
| Losses | 4 | 1 |
Biggest results (H/A)
| Metric | H | A | H | A |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Biggest wins | 4-0 | 1-2 | 4-0 | 2-5 |
| Biggest losses | 1-4 | 4-1 | — | 2-1 |
| Goals For | 4 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| Goals Against | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
Model comparison
| Metric | TIL 2020 W | Fortuna Ålesund W |
|---|---|---|
| Form | 37% | 63% |
| Att | 43% | 57% |
| Def | 27% | 73% |
| Poisson Distribution | 28% | 72% |
| H2h | 40% | 60% |
| Goals | 29% | 71% |
| Total | 34.0% | 66.0% |
Advice: Double chance : draw or Fortuna Ålesund W
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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)
No odds available for this fixture.
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League standings
Loading standings…
Expected goals (λ): TIL 2020 W = 1.04 (league 1.81), Fortuna Ålesund W = 2.53 (league 1.41)
| Fortuna Ålesund W | |||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | ||
| TIL 2020 W | 0 | 2.8% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.4% |
| 1 | 2.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | |
| 2 | 1.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | |
| 3 | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | |
| 4 | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | |
| 5 | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | |
Outcome probabilities: Home win 13.6% · Draw 16.8% · Away win 65.2%
Vtot 1 , Vtod1