Esiliiga A — Estonia
Sun, Aug 31 2025 • 12:00 • Raadi Roheline Jalgpallipark
Match Finished
Expected Goals
2.68 (league 2.04) 1.11 (league 1.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
65.1% 16.0% 13.3%
best score tips
2 - 1
9.0%
2 - 0
8.1%
3 - 1
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
Tallinna Kalev II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tartu Welco 0 2.3% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.0% 6.7% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.1% 9.0% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.2% 8.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.9% 5.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.6% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTartu WelcoTallinna Kalev II
Played55
Form60%53%
Attack53%53%
Defense63%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 210 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.44 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.70
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.50
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

75%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

81%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tartu Welco Tallinna Kalev II
HATHAT
Played121325121325
Wins58%62%60%17%8%12%
Draws17%15%16%25%46%36%
Loses25%23%24%58%46%52%

Form: Tartu Welco: WDLWWDWWWWDWDWLLWWWLLWWLW • Tallinna Kalev II: LDDLLLLLDLDWDLLDLLLDLWDDW

League goals

Metric Tartu Welco Tallinna Kalev II
HATHAT
GF total253055201838
GF avg2.12.32.21.71.41.5
GA total171734253459
GA avg1.41.31.42.12.62.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTartu WelcoTallinna Kalev II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.596%68%72%92%
1.564%36%40%68%
2.544%24%20%44%
3.512%4%8%24%
4.54%4%8%8%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTartu WelcoTallinna Kalev II
HATHAT
Clean sheets358112
Failed to score101437

Penalties

MetricTartu WelcoTallinna Kalev II
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total43

Streaks

MetricTartu WelcoTallinna Kalev II
Wins41
Draws12
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-56-10-2
Biggest losses2-53-10-45-1
Goals For4563
Goals Against5345

Model comparison

MetricTartu WelcoTallinna Kalev II
Form53%47%
Att50%50%
Def36%64%
Poisson Distribution71%29%
H2h71%29%
Goals62%38%
Total57.2%42.8%

Advice: Double chance : Tartu Welco or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.30 @ Pinnacle
Draw7.28 @ Pinnacle
Away8.90 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.33 @ Pinnacle
Under 2.53.60 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.65 @ Unibet
No2.32 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tartu Welco = 2.68 (league 2.04), Tallinna Kalev II = 1.11 (league 1.77)

Tallinna Kalev II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tartu Welco 0 2.3% 2.5% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
1 6.0% 6.7% 3.7% 1.4% 0.4% 0.1%
2 8.1% 9.0% 5.0% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1%
3 7.2% 8.0% 4.5% 1.7% 0.5% 0.1%
4 4.9% 5.4% 3.0% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1%
5 2.6% 2.9% 1.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 65.1% · Draw 16.0% · Away win 13.3%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1