Mon, Sep 22 2025 • 14:15 • Hiiu staadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.53 (league 1.98) 3.71 (league 1.75)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
2.2% 6.0% 74.6%
best score tips
0 - 3
12.3%
0 - 4
11.4%
0 - 2
9.9%
Score & goals probability table
Nõmme United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nõmme Kalju II 0 1.4% 5.3% 9.9% 12.3% 11.4% 8.4%
1 0.8% 2.8% 5.3% 6.5% 6.0% 4.5%
2 0.2% 0.8% 1.4% 1.7% 1.6% 1.2%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNõmme Kalju IINõmme United
Played55
Form40%100%
Attack42%83%
Defense67%79%
Goals For (tot | avg)10 | 220 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.65 | 1

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

76%
FT probability

3.5+

54%
FT probability

BTTS

78%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nõmme Kalju II Nõmme United
HATHAT
Played151328141428
Wins33%38%36%86%79%82%
Draws20%15%18%0%14%7%
Loses47%46%46%14%7%11%

Form: Nõmme Kalju II: WLWLWLLLLLLLDLWWWLWLWDWDLDDW • Nõmme United: WWWWLWWWWWDWLWWWWWWWWLDWWWWW

League goals

Metric Nõmme Kalju II Nõmme United
HATHAT
GF total232144474390
GF avg1.51.61.63.43.13.2
GA total323062121022
GA avg2.12.32.20.90.70.8

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNõmme Kalju IINõmme United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.575%82%89%64%
1.554%61%82%14%
2.521%39%61%0%
3.54%21%39%0%
4.54%11%18%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNõmme Kalju IINõmme United
HATHAT
Clean sheets3256410
Failed to score437213

Penalties

MetricNõmme Kalju IINõmme United
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%7 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total27

Streaks

MetricNõmme Kalju IINõmme United
Wins38
Draws21
Losses71

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-56-00-12
Biggest losses1-57-00-21-0
Goals For35612
Goals Against5721

Model comparison

MetricNõmme Kalju IINõmme United
Form29%71%
Att33%67%
Def38%62%
Poisson Distribution13%87%
H2h0%100%
Goals29%71%
Total28.4%71.6%

Advice: Combo Winner : Nõmme United and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home10.50 @ Betfair
Draw7.31 @ Pinnacle
Away1.21 @ Betano

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.63 @ Unibet
No2.60 @ William Hill

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.23 @ Unibet
Under 2.54.80 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nõmme Kalju II = 0.53 (league 1.98), Nõmme United = 3.71 (league 1.75)

Nõmme United
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nõmme Kalju II 0 1.4% 5.3% 9.9% 12.3% 11.4% 8.4%
1 0.8% 2.8% 5.3% 6.5% 6.0% 4.5%
2 0.2% 0.8% 1.4% 1.7% 1.6% 1.2%
3 0.0% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 2.2% · Draw 6.0% · Away win 74.6%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1