Esiliiga A — Estonia
Mon, Sep 22 2025 • 16:00 • Tartu Sepa tänava staadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 2.07) 2.66 (league 1.74)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
18.9% 17.4% 58.0%
best score tips
1 - 2
8.4%
1 - 3
7.5%
1 - 1
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
Tallinna Kalev II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luunja 0 1.6% 4.4% 5.8% 5.1% 3.4% 1.8%
1 2.4% 6.3% 8.4% 7.5% 5.0% 2.6%
2 1.7% 4.6% 6.1% 5.4% 3.6% 1.9%
3 0.8% 2.2% 2.9% 2.6% 1.7% 0.9%
4 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricLuunjaTallinna Kalev II
Played55
Form0%53%
Attack29%38%
Defense0%52%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)21 | 4.210 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

5.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

61%
FT probability

BTTS

82%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Luunja Tallinna Kalev II
HATHAT
Played131528141428
Wins15%0%7%14%14%14%
Draws0%0%0%29%43%36%
Loses85%100%93%57%43%50%

Form: Luunja: LLLLLLWLLLLLLLLLWLLLLLLLLLLL • Tallinna Kalev II: LDDLLLLLDLDWDLLDLLLDLWDDWWDL

League goals

Metric Luunja Tallinna Kalev II
HATHAT
GF total161228222042
GF avg1.20.81.01.61.41.5
GA total4367110323567
GA avg3.34.53.92.32.52.4

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineLuunjaTallinna Kalev II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.554%100%71%93%
1.532%82%43%68%
2.57%68%18%43%
3.54%46%7%25%
4.54%36%7%11%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricLuunjaTallinna Kalev II
HATHAT
Clean sheets000112
Failed to score5813538

Penalties

MetricLuunjaTallinna Kalev II
Scored (total | %)2 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total23

Streaks

MetricLuunjaTallinna Kalev II
Wins12
Draws02
Losses95

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-1—6-10-2
Biggest losses0-129-00-55-1
Goals For5363
Goals Against12955

Model comparison

MetricLuunjaTallinna Kalev II
Form0%100%
Att43%57%
Def32%68%
Poisson Distribution36%64%
H2h36%64%
Goals33%67%
Total36.0%64.0%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Tallinna Kalev II and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home14.00 @ Betfair
Draw9.00 @ Betfair
Away1.22 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.22 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.56.50 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.48 @ 1xBet
No2.60 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Luunja = 1.45 (league 2.07), Tallinna Kalev II = 2.66 (league 1.74)

Tallinna Kalev II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Luunja 0 1.6% 4.4% 5.8% 5.1% 3.4% 1.8%
1 2.4% 6.3% 8.4% 7.5% 5.0% 2.6%
2 1.7% 4.6% 6.1% 5.4% 3.6% 1.9%
3 0.8% 2.2% 2.9% 2.6% 1.7% 0.9%
4 0.3% 0.8% 1.1% 0.9% 0.6% 0.3%
5 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 18.9% · Draw 17.4% · Away win 58.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1