Esiliiga A — Estonia
Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 09:30 • Maarjamäe Staadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.81 (league 2.03) 3.14 (league 1.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
19.0% 15.6% 54.5%
best score tips
1 - 3
6.6%
1 - 2
6.3%
2 - 3
6.0%
Score & goals probability table
Tartu Welco
0 1 2 3 4 5
FCI Levadia II 0 0.7% 2.2% 3.5% 3.6% 2.9% 1.8%
1 1.3% 4.0% 6.3% 6.6% 5.2% 3.3%
2 1.2% 3.6% 5.7% 6.0% 4.7% 3.0%
3 0.7% 2.2% 3.5% 3.6% 2.8% 1.8%
4 0.3% 1.0% 1.6% 1.6% 1.3% 0.8%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFCI Levadia IITartu Welco
Played55
Form47%33%
Attack57%33%
Defense33%57%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)14 | 2.89 | 1.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.60
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

80%
FT probability

3.5+

57%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FCI Levadia II Tartu Welco
HATHAT
Played131629151429
Wins23%31%28%47%57%52%
Draws23%19%21%27%14%21%
Loses54%50%52%27%29%28%

Form: FCI Levadia II: LLDWWWLWLLDLDDLLLWLDLWLLLWDWL • Tartu Welco: WDLWWDWWWWDWDWLLWWWLLWWLWLDLD

League goals

Metric FCI Levadia II Tartu Welco
HATHAT
GF total302050283260
GF avg2.31.31.71.92.32.1
GA total313061212243
GA avg2.41.92.11.41.61.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFCI Levadia IITartu Welco
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.562%86%93%69%
1.545%76%62%41%
2.531%31%38%24%
3.514%7%10%7%
4.510%7%3%7%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFCI Levadia IITartu Welco
HATHAT
Clean sheets134459
Failed to score4711202

Penalties

MetricFCI Levadia IITartu Welco
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%4 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total64

Streaks

MetricFCI Levadia IITartu Welco
Wins34
Draws21
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-02-63-01-5
Biggest losses0-35-02-55-2
Goals For7645
Goals Against6555

Model comparison

MetricFCI Levadia IITartu Welco
Form58%42%
Att63%37%
Def39%61%
Poisson Distribution37%63%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%62%
Total45.5%54.5%

Advice: Combo Double chance : draw or Tartu Welco and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.34 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.33 @ Bet365
Away1.83 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.33 @ Marathonbet
No3.00 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FCI Levadia II = 1.81 (league 2.03), Tartu Welco = 3.14 (league 1.76)

Tartu Welco
0 1 2 3 4 5
FCI Levadia II 0 0.7% 2.2% 3.5% 3.6% 2.9% 1.8%
1 1.3% 4.0% 6.3% 6.6% 5.2% 3.3%
2 1.2% 3.6% 5.7% 6.0% 4.7% 3.0%
3 0.7% 2.2% 3.5% 3.6% 2.8% 1.8%
4 0.3% 1.0% 1.6% 1.6% 1.3% 0.8%
5 0.1% 0.4% 0.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.3%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 19.0% · Draw 15.6% · Away win 54.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1