Sat, Sep 27 2025 • 09:30 • Lasnamäe SPK kunstmuruväljak
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.86 (league 1.98) 1.46 (league 1.75)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
45.9% 22.5% 30.0%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.8%
2 - 1
9.1%
1 - 2
7.2%
Score & goals probability table
Nõmme Kalju II
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Tallinn 0 3.6% 5.3% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.7% 9.8% 7.2% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.3% 9.1% 6.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
3 3.9% 5.7% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.8% 2.6% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC TallinnNõmme Kalju II
Played55
Form13%33%
Attack29%38%
Defense29%52%
Goals For (tot | avg)6 | 1.28 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)15 | 310 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.20
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.20
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.30
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Tallinn Nõmme Kalju II
HATHAT
Played141529161329
Wins29%33%31%31%38%34%
Draws21%20%21%19%15%17%
Loses50%47%48%50%46%48%

Form: FC Tallinn: LLDLLWWDDLLDWWWWWLLWWLLLLLDLD • Nõmme Kalju II: WLWLWLLLLLLLDLWWWLWLWDWDLDDWL

League goals

Metric FC Tallinn Nõmme Kalju II
HATHAT
GF total232649232144
GF avg1.61.71.71.41.61.5
GA total233558363066
GA avg1.62.32.02.32.32.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC TallinnNõmme Kalju II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.579%83%72%83%
1.541%62%52%62%
2.521%28%21%41%
3.510%14%3%24%
4.57%10%3%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC TallinnNõmme Kalju II
HATHAT
Clean sheets325325
Failed to score246538

Penalties

MetricFC TallinnNõmme Kalju II
Scored (total | %)4 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total42

Streaks

MetricFC TallinnNõmme Kalju II
Wins53
Draws22
Losses57

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-00-33-01-5
Biggest losses1-56-01-57-0
Goals For7635
Goals Against5657

Model comparison

MetricFC TallinnNõmme Kalju II
Form29%71%
Att43%57%
Def40%60%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h67%33%
Goals79%21%
Total52.2%47.8%

Advice: Double chance : FC Tallinn or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.46 @ Marathonbet
Draw4.33 @ Bet365
Away2.29 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.30 @ Bet365
Under 2.53.40 @ Bet365

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.27 @ Marathonbet
No3.36 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Tallinn = 1.86 (league 1.98), Nõmme Kalju II = 1.46 (league 1.75)

Nõmme Kalju II
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Tallinn 0 3.6% 5.3% 3.9% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
1 6.7% 9.8% 7.2% 3.5% 1.3% 0.4%
2 6.3% 9.1% 6.7% 3.2% 1.2% 0.3%
3 3.9% 5.7% 4.1% 2.0% 0.7% 0.2%
4 1.8% 2.6% 1.9% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
5 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 45.9% · Draw 22.5% · Away win 30.0%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1