Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 09:30 • Nike Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.92 (league 2.04) 1.63 (league 1.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
43.5% 21.9% 32.5%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.0%
2 - 1
8.6%
1 - 2
7.3%
Score & goals probability table
Nõmme Kalju II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Elva 0 2.9% 4.7% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
1 5.5% 9.0% 7.3% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.3% 8.6% 7.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.4% 5.5% 4.5% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.6% 2.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricElvaNõmme Kalju II
Played55
Form53%33%
Attack57%57%
Defense50%29%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.68 | 1.6
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Elva Nõmme Kalju II
HATHAT
Played151530161430
Wins47%53%50%31%36%33%
Draws20%27%23%19%14%17%
Loses33%20%27%50%50%50%

Form: Elva: DWWWWLLDDWWDWDWWLWLLWLWWLDLWDW • Nõmme Kalju II: WLWLWLLLLLLLDLWWWLWLWDWDLDDWLL

League goals

Metric Elva Nõmme Kalju II
HATHAT
GF total263056232245
GF avg1.72.01.91.41.61.5
GA total272148363268
GA avg1.81.41.62.32.32.3

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineElvaNõmme Kalju II
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.587%80%73%83%
1.553%50%50%63%
2.523%23%20%40%
3.513%7%3%23%
4.510%0%3%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricElvaNõmme Kalju II
HATHAT
Clean sheets246325
Failed to score314538

Penalties

MetricElvaNõmme Kalju II
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%2 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total52

Streaks

MetricElvaNõmme Kalju II
Wins43
Draws22
Losses27

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-32-53-01-5
Biggest losses1-44-11-57-0
Goals For5535
Goals Against4457

Model comparison

MetricElvaNõmme Kalju II
Form62%38%
Att50%50%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution55%45%
H2h85%15%
Goals67%33%
Total63.0%37.0%

Advice: Double chance : Elva or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.58 @ Unibet
Draw4.85 @ Superbet
Away5.50 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.32 @ 1xBet
Under 2.53.20 @ Unibet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.47 @ 188Bet
No2.75 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Elva = 1.92 (league 2.04), Nõmme Kalju II = 1.63 (league 1.77)

Nõmme Kalju II
0 1 2 3 4 5
Elva 0 2.9% 4.7% 3.8% 2.1% 0.8% 0.3%
1 5.5% 9.0% 7.3% 4.0% 1.6% 0.5%
2 5.3% 8.6% 7.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.5%
3 3.4% 5.5% 4.5% 2.4% 1.0% 0.3%
4 1.6% 2.7% 2.2% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.6% 1.0% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 43.5% · Draw 21.9% · Away win 32.5%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1