Esiliiga A — Estonia
Sat, Oct 4 2025 • 13:00 • Maarjamäe Staadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
4.87 (league 2.03) 1.05 (league 1.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
56.3% 4.8% 2.7%
best score tips
4 - 1
6.6%
5 - 1
6.4%
4 - 0
6.3%
Score & goals probability table
Luunja
0 1 2 3 4 5
FCI Levadia II 0 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.2% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.2% 5.4% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.3% 6.6% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 6.1% 6.4% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFCI Levadia IILuunja
Played55
Form53%0%
Attack93%50%
Defense7%0%
Goals For (tot | avg)13 | 2.67 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)13 | 2.620 | 4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.80
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

66%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FCI Levadia II Luunja
HATHAT
Played141630151530
Wins21%31%27%13%0%7%
Draws29%19%23%0%0%0%
Loses50%50%50%87%100%93%

Form: FCI Levadia II: LLDWWWLWLLDLDDLLLWLDLWLLLWDWLD • Luunja: LLLLLLWLLLLLLLLLWLLLLLLLLLLLLL

League goals

Metric FCI Levadia II Luunja
HATHAT
GF total312051201232
GF avg2.21.31.71.30.81.1
GA total3230624967116
GA avg2.31.92.13.34.53.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFCI Levadia IILuunja
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%87%53%100%
1.543%73%33%80%
2.530%30%10%67%
3.513%7%7%47%
4.510%7%3%37%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFCI Levadia IILuunja
HATHAT
Clean sheets134000
Failed to score47116814

Penalties

MetricFCI Levadia IILuunja
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total63

Streaks

MetricFCI Levadia IILuunja
Wins31
Draws20
Losses39

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-02-65-1—
Biggest losses0-35-00-129-0
Goals For7653
Goals Against65129

Model comparison

MetricFCI Levadia IILuunja
Form100%0%
Att65%35%
Def61%39%
Poisson Distribution83%17%
H2h93%7%
Goals86%14%
Total77.6%22.4%

Advice: Combo Winner : FCI Levadia II and +2.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.08 @ Unibet
Draw13.09 @ Pinnacle
Away23.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.75 @ Betfair
No2.15 @ Superbet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.12 @ Unibet
Under 2.56.50 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FCI Levadia II = 4.87 (league 2.03), Luunja = 1.05 (league 1.76)

Luunja
0 1 2 3 4 5
FCI Levadia II 0 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
1 1.3% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
2 3.2% 3.3% 1.7% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0%
3 5.2% 5.4% 2.8% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1%
4 6.3% 6.6% 3.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%
5 6.1% 6.4% 3.4% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 56.3% · Draw 4.8% · Away win 2.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1