Esiliiga A — Estonia
Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 09:30 • Nike Arena
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.78 (league 2.06) 1.77 (league 1.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
38.2% 22.1% 37.7%
best score tips
1 - 1
9.0%
2 - 1
8.1%
1 - 2
8.0%
Score & goals probability table
FC Tallinn
0 1 2 3 4 5
Elva 0 2.9% 5.1% 4.5% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
1 5.1% 9.0% 8.0% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.6% 8.1% 7.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.7% 4.8% 4.2% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.2% 2.1% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricElvaFC Tallinn
Played55
Form47%40%
Attack47%67%
Defense53%33%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2
Goals Against (tot | avg)7 | 1.410 | 2

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.30
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

73%
FT probability

3.5+

52%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 5 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Elva FC Tallinn
HATHAT
Played161531161531
Wins44%53%48%31%33%32%
Draws19%27%23%25%20%23%
Loses38%20%29%44%47%45%

Form: Elva: DWWWWLLDDWWDWDWWLWLLWLWWLDLWDWL • FC Tallinn: LLDLLWWDDLLDWWWWWLLWWLLLLLDLDWD

League goals

Metric Elva FC Tallinn
HATHAT
GF total263056272653
GF avg1.62.01.81.71.71.7
GA total282149263561
GA avg1.81.41.61.62.32.0

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineElvaFC Tallinn
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.584%81%81%84%
1.552%48%45%61%
2.523%23%19%26%
3.513%6%10%13%
4.510%0%6%10%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricElvaFC Tallinn
HATHAT
Clean sheets246325
Failed to score415246

Penalties

MetricElvaFC Tallinn
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total55

Streaks

MetricElvaFC Tallinn
Wins45
Draws22
Losses25

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-32-57-00-3
Biggest losses1-44-11-56-0
Goals For5576
Goals Against4456

Model comparison

MetricElvaFC Tallinn
Form54%46%
Att41%59%
Def59%41%
Poisson Distribution52%48%
H2h62%38%
Goals53%47%
Total53.5%46.5%

Advice: Double chance : Elva or draw

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.67 @ Pinnacle
Draw4.69 @ Pinnacle
Away4.10 @ 1xBet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.28 @ Marathonbet
Under 2.53.05 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.36 @ Marathonbet
No2.84 @ 1xBet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Elva = 1.78 (league 2.06), FC Tallinn = 1.77 (league 1.73)

FC Tallinn
0 1 2 3 4 5
Elva 0 2.9% 5.1% 4.5% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
1 5.1% 9.0% 8.0% 4.7% 2.1% 0.7%
2 4.6% 8.1% 7.1% 4.2% 1.9% 0.7%
3 2.7% 4.8% 4.2% 2.5% 1.1% 0.4%
4 1.2% 2.1% 1.9% 1.1% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.4% 0.8% 0.7% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 38.2% · Draw 22.1% · Away win 37.7%

vtt 1 , vtd1