Tallinna Kalev II vs Tartu Welco

Esiliiga A — Estonia

Sun, Oct 19 2025 • 09:30 • Kalevi Keskstaadion

Match Finished

Tallinna Kalev II

1 - 3

Tartu Welco

Expected Goals

1.11 (league 2.03) 2.91 (league 1.74)

1x2 probabilities

home	draw	away
11.4%	14.3%	66.7%

best score tips

1 - 2

8.4%

1 - 3

8.2%

0 - 2

7.6%

Score & goals probability table

		Tartu Welco
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Tallinna Kalev II	0	1.8%	5.2%	7.6%	7.4%	5.4%	3.1%
	1	2.0%	5.8%	8.4%	8.2%	6.0%	3.5%
	2	1.1%	3.2%	4.7%	4.5%	3.3%	1.9%
	3	0.4%	1.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.2%	0.7%
	4	0.1%	0.3%	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.2%
	5	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

Metric	Tallinna Kalev II	Tartu Welco
Played	5	5
Form	33%	20%
Attack	60%	40%
Defense	0%	20%
Goals For (tot \| avg)	9 \| 1.8	6 \| 1.2
Goals Against (tot \| avg)	16 \| 3.2	12 \| 2.4

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.60

Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.70

Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

4.00

Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.80

Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%

FT probability

2.5+

76%

FT probability

3.5+

54%

FT probability

BTTS

80%

FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards

Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric	Tallinna Kalev II			Tartu Welco
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Played	15	16	31	16	15	31
Wins	13%	19%	16%	44%	53%	48%
Draws	27%	44%	35%	25%	20%	23%
Loses	60%	38%	48%	31%	27%	29%

Form: Tallinna Kalev II: LDDLLLLLDLDWDLLDLLLDLWDDWWDLWLD • Tartu Welco: WDLWWDWWWWDWDWLLWWWLLWWLWLDLDDL

League goals

Metric	Tallinna Kalev II			Tartu Welco
	H	A	T	H	A	T
GF total	22	27	49	29	33	62
GF avg	1.5	1.7	1.6	1.8	2.2	2.0
GA total	35	41	76	25	23	48
GA avg	2.3	2.6	2.5	1.6	1.5	1.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

Line	Tallinna Kalev II		Tartu Welco
	For	Against	For	Against
0.5	71%	94%	94%	71%
1.5	45%	71%	58%	42%
2.5	19%	45%	35%	26%
3.5	10%	26%	10%	10%
4.5	10%	10%	3%	6%

Clean sheets & failed to score

Metric	Tallinna Kalev II			Tartu Welco
	H	A	T	H	A	T
Clean sheets	1	1	2	4	5	9
Failed to score	6	3	9	2	0	2

Penalties

Metric	Tallinna Kalev II	Tartu Welco
Scored (total \| %)	3 \| 100.00%	4 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	3	4

Streaks

Metric	Tallinna Kalev II	Tartu Welco
Wins	2	4
Draws	2	2
Losses	5	2

Biggest results (H/A)

Metric	H	A	H	A
Biggest wins	6-1	0-2	3-0	1-5
Biggest losses	0-5	5-1	2-5	5-2
Goals For	6	5	4	5
Goals Against	5	5	5	5

Model comparison

Metric	Tallinna Kalev II	Tartu Welco
Form	63%	38%
Att	60%	40%
Def	43%	57%
Poisson Distribution	28%	72%
H2h	50%	50%
Goals	47%	53%
Total	48.5%	51.7%

Advice: Combo Double chance : Tallinna Kalev II or draw and +1.5 goals

💸

Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home3.94 @ 1xBet

Draw4.40 @ Marathonbet

Away1.68 @ Pinnacle

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.24 @ Marathonbet

Under 2.53.34 @ Marathonbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.31 @ Marathonbet

No3.11 @ 1xBet

Bookmaker: Select to view full market tables.

Marathonbet Updated: 2025-10-19T06:47:13+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.90
Draw	4.40
Away	1.60

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.76
Draw	3.15
Away	1.87

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1	6.55
Away -1	1.05
Home -0.25	3.34
Away -0.25	1.24
Home +0	3.05
Away +0	1.28
Home +0.25	2.43
Away +0.25	1.44
Home +0.75	1.91
Away +0.75	1.73
Home +1	1.74
Away +1	1.98
Home +2	1.22
Away +2	3.50
Home -1.5	8.50
Away -1.5	1.01
Home +3	1.04
Away +3	6.85
Home +1.25	1.55
Away +1.25	2.18
Home +1.5	1.45
Away +1.5	2.41
Home +1.75	1.33
Away +1.75	2.81
Home +2.5	1.16
Away +2.5	4.10

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 2.0	1.06
Under 2.0	6.35
Over 2.25	1.23
Under 2.25	3.42
Over 2.5	1.24
Under 2.5	3.34
Over 2.75	1.28
Under 2.75	3.08
Over 3.5	1.70
Under 3.5	2.03
Over 3.0	1.35
Under 3.0	2.74
Over 4.5	2.46
Under 4.5	1.43
Over 3.25	1.51
Under 3.25	2.26
Over 3.75	1.81
Under 3.75	1.82
Over 4.0	2.02
Under 4.0	1.64
Over 4.25	2.24
Under 4.25	1.52
Over 4.75	2.83
Under 4.75	1.33
Over 5.0	3.50
Under 5.0	1.22

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.81
Under 1.5	1.90
Over 2.0	2.62
Under 2.0	1.41
Over 1.0	1.26
Under 1.0	3.35

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.44
Under 1.5	2.51
Over 2.0	1.81
Under 2.0	1.90
Over 2.5	2.38
Under 2.5	1.49

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.31
No	3.04

Bet ID 9 — Handicap Result

Selection	Odds
Home +1	2.07
Draw +1	3.90
Away +1	2.41
Home +2	1.45
Draw +2	4.85
Away +2	4.10

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	2.07
Home/Away	1.14
Draw/Away	1.17

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.92
Draw	2.70
Away	2.03

Bet ID 14 — Team To Score First

Selection	Odds
Home	2.38
Draw	35.00
Away	1.50

Bet ID 15 — Team To Score Last

Selection	Odds
Home	2.36
Draw	35.00
Away	1.51

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.07
Under 1.5	1.68
Over 1	1.41
Under 1	2.66
Over 2	3.35
Under 2	1.27

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.38
Under 1.5	2.77
Over 2.5	2.11
Under 2.5	1.65
Over 2	1.58
Under 2	2.21
Over 3	3.10
Under 3	1.31

Pinnacle Updated: 2025-10-19T06:47:13+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.52
Draw	4.15
Away	1.68

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home +0	2.83
Away +0	1.35
Home +0.25	2.33
Away +0.25	1.50
Home +0.5	2.05
Away +0.5	1.67
Home +0.75	1.85
Away +0.75	1.85
Home +1	1.63
Away +1	2.12
Home +2	1.39
Away +2	2.66
Home +1.25	1.49
Away +1.25	2.36
Home +1.5	1.40
Away +1.5	2.62
Home +1.75	1.41
Away +1.75	2.58

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 3.5	1.75
Under 3.5	1.94
Over 3.0	1.40
Under 3.0	2.63
Over 4.5	2.62
Under 4.5	1.40
Over 3.25	1.57
Under 3.25	2.19
Over 3.75	1.93
Under 3.75	1.78
Over 4.0	2.18
Under 4.0	1.59
Over 4.25	2.39
Under 4.25	1.48
Over 4.75	2.68
Under 4.75	1.38

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.85
Under 1.5	1.85
Over 1.75	2.14
Under 1.75	1.61
Over 2.0	2.71
Under 2.0	1.37
Over 1.0	1.28
Under 1.0	3.11
Over 1.25	1.57
Under 1.25	2.21

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.02
Under 1.5	1.69

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 2.5	2.31
Under 2.5	1.53

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -0.25	2.91
Away -0.25	1.32
Home +0	2.42
Away +0	1.47
Home +0.25	1.86
Away +0.25	1.83
Home +0.5	1.60
Away +0.5	2.15
Home +0.75	1.40
Away +0.75	2.60
Home +1	1.28
Away +1	3.10

Bet ID 105 — Home Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 0.5	1.85
Under 0.5	1.82

Bet ID 106 — Away Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.61
Under 1.5	1.41
Over 0.5	1.48
Under 0.5	2.41

1xBet Updated: 2025-10-19T06:47:13+00:00

Bet ID 1 — Match Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.94
Draw	4.40
Away	1.62

Bet ID 3 — Second Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	3.86
Draw	3.15
Away	1.89

Bet ID 4 — Asian Handicap

Selection	Odds
Home -1	6.55
Away -1	1.05
Home -0.25	3.34
Away -0.25	1.24
Home +0	3.05
Away +0	1.28
Home +0.25	2.43
Away +0.25	1.44
Home +0.75	1.91
Away +0.75	1.73
Home +1	1.74
Away +1	1.98
Home +2	1.22
Away +2	3.50
Home -1.5	6.70
Away -1.5	1.07
Home +3	1.04
Away +3	6.85
Home +1.25	1.55
Away +1.25	2.18
Home +1.5	1.45
Away +1.5	2.41
Home +1.75	1.33
Away +1.75	2.81
Home +2.5	1.16
Away +2.5	4.10
Home +3.5	1.05
Away +3.5	7.60

Bet ID 5 — Goals Over/Under

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.06
Under 1.5	7.50
Over 2.0	1.06
Under 2.0	6.35
Over 2.25	1.23
Under 2.25	3.42
Over 2.5	1.24
Under 2.5	3.34
Over 2.75	1.28
Under 2.75	3.08
Over 3.5	1.70
Under 3.5	2.03
Over 0.5	1.01
Under 0.5	34.00
Over 3.0	1.35
Under 3.0	2.74
Over 4.5	2.46
Under 4.5	1.43
Over 3.25	1.51
Under 3.25	2.26
Over 3.75	1.81
Under 3.75	1.82
Over 4.0	2.02
Under 4.0	1.64
Over 4.25	2.24
Under 4.25	1.52
Over 4.75	2.83
Under 4.75	1.33
Over 5.0	3.50
Under 5.0	1.22
Over 5.5	4.20
Under 5.5	1.18
Over 6.5	6.85
Under 6.5	1.07

Bet ID 6 — Goals Over/Under First Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.81
Under 1.5	1.90
Over 1.75	2.07
Under 1.75	1.66
Over 2.0	2.62
Under 2.0	1.41
Over 2.5	3.30
Under 2.5	1.28
Over 3.5	7.00
Under 3.5	1.06
Over 0.5	1.15
Under 0.5	4.70
Over 1.0	1.26
Under 1.0	3.35
Over 1.25	1.53
Under 1.25	2.31
Over 4.5	13.00
Under 4.5	1.01

Bet ID 26 — Goals Over/Under - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.44
Under 1.5	2.51
Over 1.75	1.58
Under 1.75	2.21
Over 2.0	1.81
Under 2.0	1.90
Over 2.25	2.09
Under 2.25	1.65
Over 2.5	2.38
Under 2.5	1.49
Over 3.5	4.40
Under 3.5	1.16
Over 0.5	1.07
Under 0.5	6.80
Over 1.0	1.12
Under 1.0	5.20
Over 3.0	3.80
Under 3.0	1.21

Bet ID 7 — HT/FT Double

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	16.00
Home/Away	13.50
Draw/Away	5.30
Draw/Draw	7.90
Home/Home	6.50
Draw/Home	10.50
Away/Home	25.00
Away/Draw	16.00
Away/Away	2.44

Bet ID 8 — Both Teams Score

Selection	Odds
Yes	1.31
No	3.11

Bet ID 10 — Exact Score

Selection	Odds
1:0	21.00
2:0	26.00
2:1	11.00
3:0	55.00
3:1	21.00
3:2	17.00
4:0	100.00
4:1	60.00
0:0	34.00
1:1	8.50
2:2	9.00
0:1	12.00
0:2	11.00
0:3	13.00
1:2	7.50
1:3	9.00
2:3	11.00
3:3	19.00
0:4	21.00
1:4	15.00
2:4	18.00
4:2	41.00
0:5	36.00
0:6	90.00
1:5	26.00
1:6	70.00
2:5	36.00
2:6	100.00
3:4	31.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	100.00
5:2	100.00
6:0	100.00
6:1	100.00
6:2	100.00
4:3	60.00
3:5	75.00
3:6	100.00
4:5	100.00
4:6	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
5:6	100.00
6:3	100.00
6:4	100.00
6:5	100.00
4:4	80.00
7:0	100.00
7:1	100.00
7:2	100.00
7:3	100.00
7:4	100.00
7:5	100.00
7:6	100.00
8:0	100.00
8:1	100.00
8:2	100.00
8:3	100.00
8:4	100.00
8:5	100.00
8:6	100.00
8:7	100.00
9:0	100.00
9:1	100.00
9:2	100.00
9:3	100.00
9:4	100.00
9:5	100.00
9:6	100.00
9:7	100.00
9:8	100.00
10:0	100.00
10:1	100.00
10:2	100.00
10:3	100.00
10:4	100.00
10:5	100.00
10:6	100.00
10:7	100.00
10:8	100.00
10:9	100.00
5:5	100.00
6:6	100.00
7:7	100.00
8:8	100.00
9:9	100.00
10:10	100.00
0:7	100.00
0:8	100.00
0:9	100.00
0:10	100.00
1:7	100.00
1:8	100.00
1:9	100.00
1:10	100.00
2:7	100.00
2:8	100.00
2:9	100.00
2:10	100.00
3:7	100.00
3:8	100.00
3:9	100.00
3:10	100.00
4:7	100.00
4:8	100.00
4:9	100.00
4:10	100.00
5:7	100.00
5:8	100.00
5:9	100.00
5:10	100.00
6:7	100.00
6:8	100.00
6:9	100.00
6:10	100.00
7:8	100.00
7:9	100.00
7:10	100.00
8:9	100.00
8:10	100.00
9:10	100.00

Bet ID 11 — Highest Scoring Half

Selection	Odds
Draw	4.25
1st Half	2.91
2nd Half	1.87

Bet ID 31 — Correct Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	6.80
2:0	20.00
2:1	18.00
3:0	100.00
3:1	100.00
3:2	100.00
4:0	100.00
4:1	100.00
0:0	4.70
1:1	6.20
2:2	35.00
0:1	4.10
0:2	7.40
0:3	24.00
1:2	11.00
1:3	43.00
2:3	100.00
3:3	100.00
0:4	100.00
1:4	100.00
2:4	100.00
4:2	100.00
0:5	100.00
1:5	100.00
2:5	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	100.00
5:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
4:5	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
4:4	100.00
5:5	100.00

Bet ID 62 — Correct Score - Second Half

Selection	Odds
1:0	8.00
2:0	18.00
2:1	14.00
3:0	75.00
3:1	60.00
3:2	95.00
4:0	100.00
4:1	100.00
0:0	6.80
1:1	6.20
2:2	22.00
0:1	5.20
0:2	7.40
0:3	18.00
1:2	9.00
1:3	23.00
2:3	60.00
3:3	100.00
0:4	55.00
1:4	70.00
2:4	100.00
4:2	100.00
0:5	100.00
1:5	100.00
2:5	100.00
3:4	100.00
5:0	100.00
5:1	100.00
5:2	100.00
4:3	100.00
3:5	100.00
4:5	100.00
5:3	100.00
5:4	100.00
4:4	100.00
5:5	100.00

Bet ID 12 — Double Chance

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	2.07
Home/Away	1.14
Draw/Away	1.17

Bet ID 13 — First Half Winner

Selection	Odds
Home	4.04
Draw	2.70
Away	2.05

Bet ID 16 — Total - Home

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.07
Under 1.5	1.68
Over 1	1.41
Under 1	2.66
Over 2	3.35
Under 2	1.27
Over 0.5	1.21
Under 0.5	3.74

Bet ID 17 — Total - Away

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	1.37
Under 1.5	2.81
Over 2.5	2.11
Under 2.5	1.65
Over 2	1.58
Under 2	2.21
Over 3	3.10
Under 3	1.31
Over 0.5	1.03
Under 0.5	8.20

Bet ID 19 — Asian Handicap First Half

Selection	Odds
Home -1	9.80
Away -1	1.00
Home -0.25	3.28
Away -0.25	1.27
Home +0	2.67
Away +0	1.39
Home +0.25	1.97
Away +0.25	1.71
Home +1	1.23
Away +1	3.42
Home +1.5	1.18
Away +1.5	4.10

Bet ID 20 — Double Chance - First Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.61
Home/Away	1.34
Draw/Away	1.16

Bet ID 33 — Double Chance - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Home/Draw	1.72
Home/Away	1.26
Draw/Away	1.18

Bet ID 34 — Both Teams Score - First Half

Selection	Odds
Yes	2.71
No	1.40

Bet ID 35 — Both Teams To Score - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Yes	2.12
No	1.63

Bet ID 21 — Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.83
Even	1.83

Bet ID 22 — Odd/Even - First Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.87
Even	1.79

Bet ID 23 — Home Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.91
Even	1.76

Bet ID 60 — Away Odd/Even

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.84
Even	1.82

Bet ID 104 — Asian Handicap (2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Home -0.25	3.20
Away -0.25	1.28
Home +0	2.71
Away +0	1.38
Home +0.25	2.09
Away +0.25	1.63
Home +0.75	1.60
Away +0.75	2.14
Home +1	1.35
Away +1	2.74
Home +1.25	1.28
Away +1.25	3.18
Home +1.5	1.22
Away +1.5	3.55

Bet ID 105 — Home Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	5.25
Under 1.5	1.11
Over 2.5	11.00
Under 2.5	1.01
Over 0.5	1.94
Under 0.5	1.77

Bet ID 106 — Away Team Total Goals(1st Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.87
Under 1.5	1.33
Over 2.5	6.85
Under 2.5	1.07
Over 0.5	1.41
Under 0.5	2.55

Bet ID 107 — Home Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	4.00
Under 1.5	1.19
Over 2.5	9.10
Under 2.5	1.03
Over 0.5	1.65
Under 0.5	2.06

Bet ID 108 — Away Team Total Goals(2nd Half)

Selection	Odds
Over 1.5	2.30
Under 1.5	1.52
Over 2.5	4.85
Under 2.5	1.13
Over 0.5	1.29
Under 0.5	3.15

Bet ID 63 — Odd/Even - Second Half

Selection	Odds
Odd	1.85
Even	1.81

📊

League standings

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League page • Country page • Venue page • Tallinna Kalev II vs Tartu Welco

Expected goals (λ): Tallinna Kalev II = 1.11 (league 2.03), Tartu Welco = 2.91 (league 1.74)

		Tartu Welco
		0	1	2	3	4	5
Tallinna Kalev II	0	1.8%	5.2%	7.6%	7.4%	5.4%	3.1%
	1	2.0%	5.8%	8.4%	8.2%	6.0%	3.5%
	2	1.1%	3.2%	4.7%	4.5%	3.3%	1.9%
	3	0.4%	1.2%	1.7%	1.7%	1.2%	0.7%
	4	0.1%	0.3%	0.5%	0.5%	0.3%	0.2%
	5	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 11.4% · Draw 14.3% · Away win 66.7%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1

Metric	Tallinna Kalev II	Tartu Welco
Scored (total \| %)	3 \| 100.00%	4 \| 100.00%
Missed (total \| %)	0 \| 0%	0 \| 0%
Total	3	4