Thu, Oct 23 2025 • 15:00 • Lasnamäe SPK kunstmuruväljak
Match Finished
Expected Goals
0.58 (league 2.06) 2.87 (league 1.73)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
4.9% 11.1% 76.9%
best score tips
0 - 2
13.1%
0 - 3
12.5%
0 - 1
9.1%
Score & goals probability table
Nõmme United
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Tallinn 0 3.2% 9.1% 13.1% 12.5% 9.0% 5.2%
1 1.8% 5.3% 7.6% 7.2% 5.2% 3.0%
2 0.5% 1.5% 2.2% 2.1% 1.5% 0.9%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFC TallinnNõmme United
Played55
Form33%100%
Attack62%100%
Defense31%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)8 | 1.620 | 4
Goals Against (tot | avg)9 | 1.83 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

5.00
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.80
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.60
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.30
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

74%
FT probability

3.5+

53%
FT probability

BTTS

79%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

3 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FC Tallinn Nõmme United
HATHAT
Played161632161531
Wins31%31%31%88%80%84%
Draws25%19%22%0%13%6%
Loses44%50%47%13%7%10%

Form: FC Tallinn: LLDLLWWDDLLDWWWWWLLWWLLLLLDLDWDL • Nõmme United: WWWWLWWWWWDWLWWWWWWWWLDWWWWWWWW

League goals

Metric FC Tallinn Nõmme United
HATHAT
GF total2726535447101
GF avg1.71.61.73.43.13.3
GA total263662121022
GA avg1.62.31.90.80.70.7

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFC TallinnNõmme United
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.578%84%90%58%
1.544%59%81%13%
2.519%25%61%0%
3.59%13%42%0%
4.56%9%19%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFC TallinnNõmme United
HATHAT
Clean sheets3258513
Failed to score257213

Penalties

MetricFC TallinnNõmme United
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%8 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total58

Streaks

MetricFC TallinnNõmme United
Wins58
Draws21
Losses51

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-00-36-00-12
Biggest losses1-56-00-21-0
Goals For76612
Goals Against5621

Model comparison

MetricFC TallinnNõmme United
Form25%75%
Att29%71%
Def25%75%
Poisson Distribution16%84%
H2h7%93%
Goals14%86%
Total19.3%80.7%

Advice: Combo Winner : Nõmme United and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home15.00 @ 10Bet
Draw9.00 @ Betfair
Away1.17 @ Dafabet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.23 @ 1xBet
Under 2.54.10 @ Superbet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.80 @ Betfair
No2.12 @ Unibet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FC Tallinn = 0.58 (league 2.06), Nõmme United = 2.87 (league 1.73)

Nõmme United
0 1 2 3 4 5
FC Tallinn 0 3.2% 9.1% 13.1% 12.5% 9.0% 5.2%
1 1.8% 5.3% 7.6% 7.2% 5.2% 3.0%
2 0.5% 1.5% 2.2% 2.1% 1.5% 0.9%
3 0.1% 0.3% 0.4% 0.4% 0.3% 0.2%
4 0.0% 0.0% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
5 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 4.9% · Draw 11.1% · Away win 76.9%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1