Esiliiga A — Estonia
Thu, Oct 23 2025 • 16:00 • Maarjamäe Staadion
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.45 (league 2.03) 2.28 (league 1.76)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
23.5% 19.9% 53.4%
best score tips
1 - 2
9.1%
1 - 1
7.9%
1 - 3
6.9%
Score & goals probability table
Elva
0 1 2 3 4 5
FCI Levadia II 0 2.4% 5.5% 6.3% 4.7% 2.7% 1.2%
1 3.5% 7.9% 9.1% 6.9% 3.9% 1.8%
2 2.5% 5.8% 6.6% 5.0% 2.8% 1.3%
3 1.2% 2.8% 3.2% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricFCI Levadia IIElva
Played55
Form53%67%
Attack54%54%
Defense38%77%
Goals For (tot | avg)7 | 1.47 | 1.4
Goals Against (tot | avg)8 | 1.63 | 0.6

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

4.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.40
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.40
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

72%
FT probability

3.5+

51%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric FCI Levadia II Elva
HATHAT
Played161632171532
Wins25%31%28%47%53%50%
Draws31%19%25%18%27%22%
Loses44%50%47%35%20%28%

Form: FCI Levadia II: LLDWWWLWLLDLDDLLLWLDLWLLLWDWLDWD • Elva: DWWWWLLDDWWDWDWWLWLLWLWWLDLWDWLW

League goals

Metric FCI Levadia II Elva
HATHAT
GF total342054273057
GF avg2.11.31.71.62.01.8
GA total323062282149
GA avg2.01.91.91.61.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineFCI Levadia IIElva
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.563%81%84%78%
1.544%69%50%47%
2.531%28%22%22%
3.513%6%13%6%
4.59%6%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricFCI Levadia IIElva
HATHAT
Clean sheets336347
Failed to score5712415

Penalties

MetricFCI Levadia IIElva
Scored (total | %)6 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total65

Streaks

MetricFCI Levadia IIElva
Wins34
Draws22
Losses32

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins7-02-65-32-5
Biggest losses0-35-01-44-1
Goals For7655
Goals Against6544

Model comparison

MetricFCI Levadia IIElva
Form44%56%
Att50%50%
Def27%73%
Poisson Distribution39%61%
H2h38%62%
Goals38%62%
Total39.3%60.7%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Elva

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home2.32 @ Superbet
Draw4.20 @ Fonbet
Away4.00 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.50 @ Betway
Under 2.52.95 @ Bwin

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.50 @ William Hill
No2.85 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): FCI Levadia II = 1.45 (league 2.03), Elva = 2.28 (league 1.76)

Elva
0 1 2 3 4 5
FCI Levadia II 0 2.4% 5.5% 6.3% 4.7% 2.7% 1.2%
1 3.5% 7.9% 9.1% 6.9% 3.9% 1.8%
2 2.5% 5.8% 6.6% 5.0% 2.8% 1.3%
3 1.2% 2.8% 3.2% 2.4% 1.4% 0.6%
4 0.4% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 0.5% 0.2%
5 0.1% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.1% 0.1%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 23.5% · Draw 19.9% · Away win 53.4%

Vtot 1 , Vtod1