Sun, Oct 26 2025 • 13:00 • Hiiu Stadium
Match Finished
Expected Goals
3.09 (league 2.04) 0.91 (league 1.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
71.0% 11.9% 7.7%
best score tips
3 - 0
9.0%
2 - 0
8.7%
3 - 1
8.2%
Score & goals probability table
Luunja
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nõmme Kalju II 0 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.6% 5.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.7% 7.9% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 9.0% 8.2% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 7.0% 6.3% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.3% 3.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

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Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricNõmme Kalju IILuunja
Played55
Form27%0%
Attack17%17%
Defense54%21%
Goals For (tot | avg)4 | 0.84 | 0.8
Goals Against (tot | avg)11 | 2.219 | 3.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

2.50
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

2.10
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

6.10
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

6.80
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

85%
FT probability

3.5+

63%
FT probability

BTTS

77%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Nõmme Kalju II Luunja
HATHAT
Played161733161733
Wins31%35%33%13%0%6%
Draws19%18%18%0%0%0%
Loses50%47%48%88%100%94%

Form: Nõmme Kalju II: WLWLWLLLLLLLDLWWWLWLWDWDLDDWLLWDL • Luunja: LLLLLLWLLLLLLLLLWLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL

League goals

Metric Nõmme Kalju II Luunja
HATHAT
GF total232548201232
GF avg1.41.51.51.30.71.0
GA total3637735376129
GA avg2.32.22.23.34.53.9

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineNõmme Kalju IILuunja
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.573%79%48%100%
1.548%61%30%82%
2.518%39%9%70%
3.53%24%6%48%
4.53%12%3%36%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricNõmme Kalju IILuunja
HATHAT
Clean sheets347000
Failed to score54971017

Penalties

MetricNõmme Kalju IILuunja
Scored (total | %)3 | 100.00%3 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total33

Streaks

MetricNõmme Kalju IILuunja
Wins31
Draws20
Losses79

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins3-01-55-1
Biggest losses1-57-00-129-0
Goals For3553
Goals Against57129

Model comparison

MetricNõmme Kalju IILuunja
Form100%0%
Att50%50%
Def63%37%
Poisson Distribution78%22%
H2h80%20%
Goals70%30%
Total68.2%31.8%

Advice: Combo Winner : Nõmme Kalju II and +1.5 goals

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.28 @ Unibet
Draw16.00 @ Superbet
Away41.00 @ Betfair

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.78 @ Marathonbet
No2.95 @ Unibet

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.14 @ Unibet
Under 2.59.00 @ Betfair
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Nõmme Kalju II = 3.09 (league 2.04), Luunja = 0.91 (league 1.77)

Luunja
0 1 2 3 4 5
Nõmme Kalju II 0 1.8% 1.7% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
1 5.6% 5.1% 2.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
2 8.7% 7.9% 3.6% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
3 9.0% 8.2% 3.7% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0%
4 7.0% 6.3% 2.9% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0%
5 4.3% 3.9% 1.8% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 71.0% · Draw 11.9% · Away win 7.7%

Vtot 2 , Vtod1