Esiliiga A — Estonia
Mon, Oct 27 2025 • 17:00 • Raadi Roheline Jalgpallipark
Match Finished
Expected Goals
1.38 (league 2.04) 1.72 (league 1.77)
1x2 probabilities
homedrawaway
30.5% 23.5% 44.9%
best score tips
1 - 1
10.7%
1 - 2
9.2%
0 - 1
7.8%
Score & goals probability table
Elva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tartu Welco 0 4.5% 7.8% 6.7% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6%
1 6.2% 10.7% 9.2% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.4% 6.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5%
3 2.0% 3.4% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Pre-match predictions & statistics

🔮

Team comparison

Last 5 results

MetricTartu WelcoElva
Played55
Form53%47%
Attack44%22%
Defense63%85%
Goals For (tot | avg)12 | 2.46 | 1.2
Goals Against (tot | avg)10 | 24 | 0.8

Scored goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.90
Home all + Away all

Scored goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.90
Home @home + Away @away

Conceded goals avg. (Both Teams)

3.00
Home all + Away all

Conceded goals avg. haP (Both Teams)

3.00
Home @home + Away @away

1.5+

95%
FT probability

2.5+

69%
FT probability

3.5+

49%
FT probability

BTTS

80%
FT probability

Yellow Cards

2 - 4 cards
Expected (per game)

League fixtures

Metric Tartu Welco Elva
HATHAT
Played171633171633
Wins47%56%52%47%50%48%
Draws24%19%21%18%25%21%
Loses29%25%27%35%25%30%

Form: Tartu Welco: WDLWWDWWWWDWDWLLWWWLLWWLWLDLDDLWW • Elva: DWWWWLLDDWWDWDWWLWLLWLWWLDLWDWLWL

League goals

Metric Tartu Welco Elva
HATHAT
GF total343670273158
GF avg2.02.32.11.61.91.8
GA total272451282351
GA avg1.61.51.51.61.41.5

Under/Over distribution (percent)

LineTartu WelcoElva
ForAgainstForAgainst
0.594%73%85%79%
1.561%42%48%48%
2.539%24%21%21%
3.512%9%12%6%
4.56%6%9%0%

Clean sheets & failed to score

MetricTartu WelcoElva
HATHAT
Clean sheets459347
Failed to score202415

Penalties

MetricTartu WelcoElva
Scored (total | %)5 | 100.00%5 | 100.00%
Missed (total | %)0 | 0%0 | 0%
Total55

Streaks

MetricTartu WelcoElva
Wins44
Draws22
Losses22

Biggest results (H/A)

MetricHAHA
Biggest wins5-21-55-32-5
Biggest losses2-55-21-44-1
Goals For5555
Goals Against5544

Model comparison

MetricTartu WelcoElva
Form53%47%
Att67%33%
Def29%71%
Poisson Distribution44%56%
H2h50%50%
Goals40%60%
Total47.2%52.8%

Advice: Double chance : draw or Elva

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Odds (best price across all bookmakers)

Match Winner (Bet ID 1)

Home1.87 @ Betano
Draw4.15 @ Superbet
Away3.58 @ 1xBet

Both Teams Score (Bet ID 8)

Yes1.42 @ Unibet
No2.88 @ Betfair

Goals Over/Under (Bet ID 5)

Over 2.51.43 @ Unibet
Under 2.52.80 @ Superbet
Select to view full market tables.
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League standings

Loading standings…

Expected goals (λ): Tartu Welco = 1.38 (league 2.04), Elva = 1.72 (league 1.77)

Elva
0 1 2 3 4 5
Tartu Welco 0 4.5% 7.8% 6.7% 3.8% 1.7% 0.6%
1 6.2% 10.7% 9.2% 5.3% 2.3% 0.8%
2 4.3% 7.4% 6.3% 3.6% 1.6% 0.5%
3 2.0% 3.4% 2.9% 1.7% 0.7% 0.2%
4 0.7% 1.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1%
5 0.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%

Outcome probabilities: Home win 30.5% · Draw 23.5% · Away win 44.9%

Vtot 5 , Vtod1